Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33709570›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2021

Machine learning for the prediction of bone metastasis in patients with newly diagnosed thyroid cancer.

Wen-Cai Liu, Zhi-Qiang Li, Zhi-Wen Luo, Wei-Jie Liao, Zhi-Li Liu, Jia-Ming Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Wen-Cai LiuDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, PR China.ORCID 0000-0002-5350-3125
Zhi-Qiang LiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, PR China.
Zhi-Wen LuoDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, PR China.
Wei-Jie LiaoDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, PR China.
Zhi-Li LiuDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, PR China.
Jia-Ming LiuDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, PR China.ORCID 0000-0001-8444-9136

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to establish a machine learning prediction model that can be used to predict bone metastasis (BM) in patients with newly diagnosed thyroid cancer (TC).

methodsDemographic and clinicopathologic variables of TC patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2010 to 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. On this basis, we developed a random forest (RF) algorithm model based on machine-learning. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy score, recall rate, and specificity are used to evaluate and compare the prediction performance of the RF model and the other model.

resultsA total of 17,138 patients were included in the study, with 166 (0.97%) developed bone metastases. Grade, T stage, histology, race, sex, age, and N stage were the important prediction features of BM. The RF model has better predictive performance than the other model (AUC: 0.917, accuracy: 0.904, recall rate: 0.833, and specificity: 0.905).

conclusionsThe RF model constructed in this study could accurately predict bone metastases in TC patients, which may provide clinicians with more personalized clinical decision-making recommendations. Machine learning technology has the potential to improve the development of BM prediction models in TC patients.

Indexed as

Machine LearningArea Under CurveBone NeoplasmsDecision Making, Computer-AssistedFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalRisk FactorsSEER ProgramThyroid Neoplasmsbone metastasismachine learningrandom forestSEERthyroid cancer

Identifiers

PMID33709570
PMCPMC8026946

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.