ArticleAnnals of translational medicine2021
The shortage of hospital beds for COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients during the lockdown of Wuhan, China.
Article in Annals of translational medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.
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- CoViNAR: a context-aware social media dataset for pandemic severity level prediction and analysis.Frontiers in artificial intelligence · 2025Article
- Determinants of Severely Prolonged Emergency Department Stays Among Older Adults: A Retrospective Comparative Analysis.Journal of nursing management · 2025Article
- A study on the siting of emergency medical facilities under uncertain demand-A case study of Wuhan country parks.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Evolution of COVID-19 infection characteristics in a Lebanese cohort of inpatients during different pandemic periods.Pathogens and global health · 2024Observational
- A Novel Approach for the Early Detection of Medical Resource Demand Surges During Health Care Emergencies: Infodemiology Study of Tweets.JMIR formative research · 2024Article
- In-hospital real-time prediction of COVID-19 severity regardless of disease phase using electronic health records.PloS one · 2024Article
- The application of machine learning algorithms for predicting length of stay before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from Wuhan-area hospitals.Frontiers in digital health · 2024Article
- Impact of Area-Level Socioeconomic and Environmental Measures on Reduced Visual Acuity Among Children and Adolescents.Investigative ophthalmology & visual science · 2023Article
- Article
- Listening to COVID-19 survivors: what they need after early discharge from hospital - a qualitative study.International journal of qualitative studies on health and well-being · 2022Article
- Collateral Impact of COVID-19 Prevention Measures on Re-Emergence of Scarlet Fever and Pertussis in Mainland China and Hong Kong China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- One-Size-Fits-All Policies Are Unacceptable: A Sustainable Management and Decision-Making Model for Schools in the Post-COVID-19 Era.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Machine learning model for predicting the length of stay in the intensive care unit for Covid-19 patients in the eastern province of Saudi Arabia.Informatics in medicine unlocked · 2022Article
- Comparison of clinical, laboratory and radiological features in confirmed and unconfirmed COVID-19 patients.Future microbiology · 2021Article
- Identifying unmet non-COVID-19 health needs during the COVID-19 outbreak based on social media data: a proof-of-concept study in Wuhan city.Annals of translational medicine · 2021Article
- Measuring Productivity and Relative Efficiency of Public Tertiary Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospitals in Hubei, China.Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financingArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe 76-day lockdown of Wuhan city has successfully contained the first wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. However, to date few studies have evaluated the hospital bed shortage for COVID-19 during the lockdown and none for non-COVID-19 patients, although such data are important for better preparedness of the future outbreak.
methodsWe built a compartmental model to estimate the daily numbers of hospital bed shortage for patients with mild, severe and critical COVID-19, taking account of underreport and diagnosis delay.
resultsThe maximal daily shortage of inpatient beds for mild, severe and critical COVID-19 patients was 43,960 (95% confidence interval: 35,246, 52,929), 2,779 (1,395, 4,163) and 196 (143, 250) beds in early February 2020. An earlier or later lockdown would have greatly increased the shortage of hospital beds in Wuhan. The overwhelmed healthcare system might have delayed the provision of health care to both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients during the lockdown. The second wave in Wuhan could have occurred in June 2020 if social distancing measures had waned in early March 2020. The hospital bed shortage was estimated much smaller in the potential second wave than in the first one.
conclusionsOur findings suggest that the timing and strength of lockdown is important for the containment of the COVID-19 outbreaks. The healthcare needs of non-COVID-19 patients in the pandemic warrant more investigations.
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