Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33707275›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2021

Retrospective study on the possible existence of a treatment paradox in sepsis scores in the emergency department.

Jan Willem Uffen, Harriet van Goor, Johannes Reitsma, Jan Jelrik Oosterheert, Marieke de Regt, Karin Kaasjager

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jan Willem UffenDepartment of Internal Medicine and Acute Medicine, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands j.w.uffen@umcutrecht.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7196-1229
Harriet van GoorDepartment of Internal Medicine and Acute Medicine, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Johannes ReitsmaDepartment of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Jan Jelrik OosterheertDepartment of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Marieke de RegtDepartment of Internal Medicine, Onze Lieve Vrouwe Gasthuis, Amsterdam, Noord-Holland, The Netherlands.
Karin KaasjagerDepartment of Internal Medicine and Acute Medicine, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) is developed as a tool to identify patients with infection with increased risk of dying from sepsis in non-intensive care unit settings, like the emergency department (ED). An abnormal score may trigger the initiation of appropriate therapy to reduce that risk. This study assesses the risk of a treatment paradox: the effect of a strong predictor for mortality will be reduced if that predictor also acts as a trigger for initiating treatment to prevent mortality.

designRetrospective analysis on data from a large observational cohort.

settingED of a tertiary medical centre in the Netherlands.

participants3178 consecutive patients with suspected infection. PRIMARY OUTCOME: To evaluate the existence of a treatment paradox by determining the influence of baseline qSOFA on treatment decisions within the first 24 hours after admission.

results226 (7.1%) had a qSOFA ≥2, of which 51 (22.6%) died within 30 days. Area under receiver operating characteristics of qSOFA for 30-day mortality was 0.68 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.75). Patients with a qSOFA ≥2 had higher odds of receiving any form of intensive therapy (OR 11.4 (95% CI 7.5 to 17.1)), such as aggressive fluid resuscitation (OR 8.8 95% CI 6.6 to 11.8), fast antibiotic administration (OR 8.5, 95% CI 5.7 to 12.3) or vasopressic therapy (OR 17.3, 95% CI 11.2 to 26.8), compared with patients with qSOFA <2.

conclusionIn ED patients with suspected infection, a qSOFA ≥2 was associated with more intensive treatment. This could lead to inadequate prediction of 30-day mortality due to the presence of a treatment paradox. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: 6916.

Indexed as

Organ Dysfunction ScoresSepsisEmergency Service, HospitalHospital MortalityHumansIntensive Care UnitsNetherlandsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC Curveaccident & emergency medicineintensive & critical careinternal medicinerespiratory infections

Identifiers

PMID33707275
PMCPMC7957128

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.