Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33707112›Full record

ArticleEuropean urology2021

Predicting Disease Recurrence, Early Progression, and Overall Survival Following Surgical Resection for High-risk Localized and Locally Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma.

Andres F Correa, Opeyemi A Jegede, Naomi B Haas, Keith T Flaherty, Michael R Pins, Adebowale Adeniran, Edward M Messing, Judith Manola, Christopher G Wood, Christopher J Kane and 5 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European urology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 65 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
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  4. CXCL13-CXCR5 signaling in CD8Cancer immunology, immunotherapy : CII · 2026
    Article
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  7. CXCL13-CXCR5 Signaling in CD8bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
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  9. Article
  10. Advances in Adjuvant Therapy for Renal Cell Carcinoma: Perspectives on Risk Stratification and Treatment Outcomes.International journal of urology : official journal of the Japanese Urological Association · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 13 institutions in 2 countries.

Andres F CorreaDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Fox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA. Electronic address: Andres.Correa@fccc.edu.
Opeyemi A JegedeECOG-ACRIN Biostatistics Center, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA.
Naomi B HaasAbramson Cancer Center of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Keith T FlahertyHenri and Belinda Termeer Center for Targeted Therapy, Cancer Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Michael R PinsAdvocate Lutheran General Hospital, Park Ridge, IL, USA.
Adebowale AdeniranYale New Haven Hospital, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Edward M MessingDepartment of Urology, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, USA.
Judith ManolaECOG-ACRIN Biostatistics Center, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA.
Christopher G WoodM. D. Anderson Cancer Center, University of Texas, Houston, TX, USA.
Christopher J KaneMoores Cancer Center, University of California-San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Michael A S JewettDepartments of Surgery (Urology) and Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network and University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Janice P DutcherCancer Research Foundation, New York, NY, USA.
Robert S DiPaolaDean's Office, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, KY, USA.
Michael A CarducciSidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Robert G UzzoDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Fox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Dana-Farber Cancer Institute · USFox Chase Cancer Center · USAdvocate Lutheran General Hospital · USCancer Research Foundation · USPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre · CASidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center · USTarget (United States) · USThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of California, San Diego · USUniversity of Kentucky · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USUniversity of Rochester · USYale University · US

Funding

Member Site CoreU10CA180821 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Evanthia Galanis · 2014 to 2026
$177.3M
Project-006U10CA180820 · NCI · ECOG-ACRIN MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI Peter J ODwyer · 2014 to 2026
$167.6M
SWOG Network Group Operations Center of the NCTNU10CA180888 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI PRIMO N. LARA · 2014 to 2026
$152.1M
Statistics CoreU10CA180794 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI PAUL J CATALANO, CONSTANTINE A. GATSONIS · 2014 to 2026
$111.2M
ECOG-ACRIN Biospecimen Bank to Support NCTNU24CA196172 · NCI · ECOG-ACRIN MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI STANLEY R. HAMILTON, Scott D Jewell · 2015 to 2026
$41.1M
NCIC Clinical Trials Group - Canadian Collaborating Clinical Trials NetworkU10CA180863 · NCI · QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY AT KINGSTON · PI Janet Ellen Dancey · 2014 to 2026
$40.4M
NCTN Lead Academic Participating Site at Dana-Farber/Partners Cancer CareU10CA180867 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI BURSTEIN, HAROLD JOHN, KIBEL, ADAM S · 2014 to 2018
$6.2M
UT MD Anderson Cancer Center Network Lead Academic Participating Site (LAP)U10CA180858 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI HUNT, KELLY K, PINNIX, CHELSEA CAMILLE · 2014 to 2018
$5.6M
NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180794NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180820NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180821NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180858NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180863NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180867NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180888NCI NIH HHS U24 CA196172
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk stratification for localized renal cell carcinoma (RCC) relies heavily on retrospective models, limiting their generalizability to contemporary cohorts.

objectiveTo introduce a contemporary RCC prognostic model, developed using prospective, highly annotated data from a phase III adjuvant trial. DESIGN, SETTING, AND

participantsThe model utilizes outcome data from the ECOG-ACRIN 2805 (ASSURE) RCC trial. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The primary outcome for the model is disease-free survival (DFS), with overall survival (OS) and early disease progression (EDP) as secondary outcomes. Model performance was assessed using discrimination and calibration tests. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 1735 patients were included in the analysis, with 887 DFS events occurring over a median follow-up of 9.6 yr. Five common tumor variables (histology, size, grade, tumor necrosis, and nodal involvement) were included in each model. Tumor histology was the single most powerful predictor for each model outcome. The C-statistics at 1 yr were 78.4% and 81.9% for DFS and OS, respectively. Degradation of the DFS, DFS validation set, and OS model's discriminatory ability was seen over time, with a global c-index of 68.0% (95% confidence interval or CI [65.5, 70.4]), 68.6% [65.1%, 72.2%], and 69.4% (95% CI [66.9%, 71.9%], respectively. The EDP model had a c-index of 75.1% (95% CI [71.3, 79.0]).

conclusionsWe introduce a contemporary RCC recurrence model built and internally validated using prospective and highly annotated data from a clinical trial. Performance characteristics of the current model exceed available prognostic models with the added benefit of being histology inclusive and TNM agnostic. PATIENT SUMMARY: Important decisions, including treatment protocols, clinical trial eligibility, and life planning, rest on our ability to predict cancer outcomes accurately. Here, we introduce a contemporary renal cell carcinoma prognostic model leveraging high-quality data from a clinical trial. The current model predicts three outcome measures commonly utilized in clinical practice and exceeds the predictive ability of available prognostic models.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Renal CellKidney NeoplasmsDisease-Free SurvivalHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesASSURE trialDisease-free survivalPrognostic modelRenal cell carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID33707112
PMCPMC8627688
OpenAlexW3135619295

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.