Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33694098›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2021

Maps, trends, and temperature sensitivities-phenological information from and for decreasing numbers of volunteer observers.

Ye Yuan, Stefan Härer, Tobias Ottenheym, Gourav Misra, Alissa Lüpke, Nicole Estrella, Annette Menzel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ye YuanEcoclimatology, Department of Life Science Systems, TUM School of Life Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany. yuan@wzw.tum.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7370-3116
Stefan HärerEcoclimatology, Department of Life Science Systems, TUM School of Life Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.
Tobias OttenheymEcoclimatology, Department of Life Science Systems, TUM School of Life Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.
Gourav MisraSchool of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University College Cork, T12K8AF, Cork, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7973-8694
Alissa LüpkeEcoclimatology, Department of Life Science Systems, TUM School of Life Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.
Nicole EstrellaEcoclimatology, Department of Life Science Systems, TUM School of Life Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1028-0048
Annette MenzelEcoclimatology, Department of Life Science Systems, TUM School of Life Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7175-2512

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Phenology serves as a major indicator of ongoing climate change. Long-term phenological observations are critically important for tracking and communicating these changes. The phenological observation network across Germany is operated by the National Meteorological Service with a major contribution from volunteering activities. However, the number of observers has strongly decreased for the last decades, possibly resulting in increasing uncertainties when extracting reliable phenological information from map interpolation. We studied uncertainties in interpolated maps from decreasing phenological records, by comparing long-term trends based on grid-based interpolated and station-wise observed time series, as well as their correlations with temperature. Interpolated maps in spring were characterized by the largest spatial variabilities across Bavaria, Germany, with respective lowest interpolated uncertainties. Long-term phenological trends for both interpolations and observations exhibited mean advances of -0.2 to -0.3 days year

Indexed as

Climate ChangeMeteorologyHumansSeasonsTemperatureVolunteersCitizen scienceInverse distance weightingLeave-one-out cross validationMap interpolationMultiple linear regressionPhenological season

Identifiers

PMID33694098
PMCPMC8346396

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.