Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33692161›Full record

ArticlePediatrics2021

Mortality in South African Children and Adolescents Routinely Treated for Tuberculosis.

Muhammad Osman, Karen du Preez, James A Seddon, Mareli M Claassens, Rory Dunbar, Sicelo S Dlamini, Alex Welte, Pren Naidoo, Anneke C Hesseling

Open access · bronzeAbstract readVideo-Audio Media
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatrics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Clinical Outcomes in Children With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Treated for Nonsevere Tuberculosis in the SHINE Trial.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Tuberculosis Preventive Treatment for Pregnant People With HIV in South Africa: A Modeling Analysis of Clinical Benefits and Risks.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Effect of HIV infection on plasma exposure to first-line TB drugs and target attainment in children.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2023
    Article
  13. Optimal Timing of Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation in Children and Adolescents With Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Associated Pulmonary Tuberculosis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. National approaches to TB care in adolescents.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2022
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Muhammad OsmanDesmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Departments of Paediatrics and Child Health and mosman@sun.ac.za.
Karen du PreezDesmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Departments of Paediatrics and Child Health and.
James A SeddonDesmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Departments of Paediatrics and Child Health and.
Mareli M ClaassensDesmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Departments of Paediatrics and Child Health and.
Rory DunbarDesmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Departments of Paediatrics and Child Health and.
Sicelo S DlaminiResearch Information Monitoring, Evaluation, and Surveillance, National Tuberculosis Control and Management Cluster, National Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.
Alex WelteScience and Innovation, Natrional Research Foundation, South African Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Pren NaidooDesmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Departments of Paediatrics and Child Health and.
Anneke C HesselingDesmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Departments of Paediatrics and Child Health and.
Desmond Tutu HIV Foundation · ZANational Health Laboratory Service · ZANational Research Foundation · ZAUniversity of Namibia · NA

Funding

Interdisciplinary and multi-level approach to estimate the disease burden and outcomes of childhood tuberculous meningitis.K43TW011006 · FIC · STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY · PI DU PREEZ, KAREN · 2020 to 2024
$622k
FIC NIH HHS K43 TW011006Medical Research Council MR/R007942/1Medical Research Council MR/T008814/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn South Africa, tuberculosis (TB) is a leading cause of death among those <20 years of age. We describe changes in TB mortality among children and adolescents in South Africa over a 13-year period, identify risk factors for mortality, and estimate excess TB-related mortality.

methodsRetrospective analysis of all patients <20 years of age routinely recorded in the national electronic drug-susceptible TB treatment register (2004-2016). We developed a multivariable Cox regression model for predictors of mortality and used estimates of mortality among the general population to calculate standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).

resultsBetween 2004 and 2016, 729 463 children and adolescents were recorded on TB treatment; 84.0% had treatment outcomes and 2.5% (18 539) died during TB treatment. The case fatality ratio decreased from 3.3% in 2007 to 1.9% in 2016. In the multivariable Cox regression model, ages 0 to 4, 10 to 14, and 15 to 19 years (compared with ages 5 to 9 years) were associated with increased risk of mortality, as was HIV infection, previous TB treatment, and extrapulmonary involvement. The SMR of 15 to 19-year-old female patients was more than double that of male patients the same age (55.3 vs 26.2). Among 10 to 14-year-olds and those who were HIV-positive, SMRs increased over time.

conclusionsMortality in South African children and adolescents treated for TB is declining but remains considerable, with 2% dying during 2016. Adolescents (10 to 19 years) and those people living with HIV have the highest risk of mortality and the greatest SMRs. Interventions to reduce mortality during TB treatment, specifically targeting those at highest risk, are urgently needed.

Indexed as

AdolescentAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSex DistributionSouth AfricaTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID33692161
PMCPMC8405866
OpenAlexW3135703121

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.