Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33692131›Full record

ArticleScience translational medicine2021

Epidemiological dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the United States and implications for acute flaccid myelitis.

Sang Woo Park, Margarita Pons-Salort, Kevin Messacar, Camille Cook, Lindsay Meyers, Jeremy Farrar, Bryan T Grenfell

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Science translational medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed
9.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 70 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Observational
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Profiling of coronaviral MProtein science : a publication of the Protein Society · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Sang Woo ParkDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA. swp2@princeton.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-2202-3361
Margarita Pons-SalortMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5597-9285
Kevin MessacarDepartment of Pediatrics, Sections of Hospital Medicine and Infectious Diseases, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO 80045, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5830-3491
Camille CookBioFire Diagnostics LLC, 515 Colorow Drive, Salt Lake City, UT 84108, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6071-4898
Lindsay MeyersBioFire Diagnostics LLC, 515 Colorow Drive, Salt Lake City, UT 84108, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2994-274X
Jeremy FarrarWellcome Trust, Gibbs Building, 215 Euston Road, London NW1 2BE, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2700-623X
Bryan T GrenfellDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3227-5909
BioFire Diagnostics (United States) · USImperial College London · GBNational Institutes of Health · USPrinceton University · USUniversity of Colorado Hospital · USWellcome Trust · GB

Funding

Implementation and Effectiveness of a Rapid Cerebrospinal Fluid Diagnostics Program for Children with Suspected Central Nervous System InfectionK23AI128069 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI MESSACAR, KEVIN BRETT · 2017 to 2021
$878k
Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI128069Wellcome Trust 216427/Z/19/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM) recently emerged in the United States as a rare but serious neurological condition since 2012. Enterovirus D68 (EV-D68) is thought to be a main causative agent, but limited surveillance of EV-D68 in the United States has hampered the ability to assess their causal relationship. Using surveillance data from the BioFire Syndromic Trends epidemiology network in the United States from January 2014 to September 2019, we characterized the epidemiological dynamics of EV-D68 and found latitudinal gradient in the mean timing of EV-D68 cases, which are likely climate driven. We also demonstrated a strong spatiotemporal association of EV-D68 with AFM. Mathematical modeling suggested that the recent dominant biennial cycles of EV-D68 dynamics may not be stable. Nonetheless, we predicted that a major EV-D68 outbreak, and hence an AFM outbreak, would have still been possible in 2020 under normal epidemiological conditions. Nonpharmaceutical intervention efforts due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic are likely to have reduced the sizes of EV-D68 and AFM outbreaks in 2020, illustrating the broader epidemiological impact of the pandemic.

Indexed as

Central Nervous System Viral DiseasesDisease SusceptibilityEnterovirus D, HumanEpidemiological MonitoringHumansModels, BiologicalMyelitisNeuromuscular DiseasesSpatio-Temporal AnalysisUnited States

Identifiers

PMID33692131
OpenAlexW3134860260

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.