Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33688832›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical Internet research2021

Toward a Multivariate Prediction Model of Pharmacological Treatment for Women With Gestational Diabetes Mellitus: Algorithm Development and Validation.

Carmelo Velardo, David Clifton, Steven Hamblin, Rabia Khan, Lionel Tarassenko, Lucy Mackillop

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical Internet research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Prediction Models for Maternal and Offspring Short- and Long-Term Outcomes Following Gestational Diabetes: A Systematic Review.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2025
    Pooled it
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  4. The use of machine learning to predict pharmacological therapy in gestational diabetes: A scoping review.Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association · 2026
    Review
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  6. Artificial Intelligence in Gestational Diabetes Care: A Systematic Review.Journal of diabetes science and technology · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Carmelo VelardoSensyne Health, plc, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4836-3743
David CliftonSensyne Health, plc, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9848-8555
Steven HamblinSensyne Health, plc, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1812-1532
Rabia KhanSensyne Health, plc, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9230-6362
Lionel TarassenkoSensyne Health, plc, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0118-1646
Lucy MackillopSensyne Health, plc, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1927-1594
University of Oxford · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSuccessful management of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) reduces the risk of morbidity in women and newborns. A woman's blood glucose readings and risk factors are used by clinical staff to make decisions regarding the initiation of pharmacological treatment in women with GDM. Mobile health (mHealth) solutions allow the real-time follow-up of women with GDM and allow timely treatment and management. Machine learning offers the opportunity to quickly analyze large quantities of data to automatically flag women at risk of requiring pharmacological treatment.

objectiveThe aim of this study is to assess whether data collected through an mHealth system can be analyzed to automatically evaluate the switch to pharmacological treatment from diet-based management of GDM.

methodsWe collected data from 3029 patients to design a machine learning model that can identify when a woman with GDM needs to switch to medications (insulin or metformin) by analyzing the data related to blood glucose and other risk factors.

resultsThrough the analysis of 411,785 blood glucose readings, we designed a machine learning model that can predict the timing of initiation of pharmacological treatment. After 100 experimental repetitions, we obtained an average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 (SD 0.02) and an algorithm that allows the flexibility of setting the operating point rather than relying on a static heuristic method, which is currently used in clinical practice.

conclusionsUsing real-time data collected via an mHealth system may further improve the timeliness of the intervention and potentially improve patient care. Further real-time clinical testing will enable the validation of our algorithm using real-world data.

Indexed as

Diabetes, GestationalAlgorithmsBlood GlucoseFemaleHumansInfant, NewbornInsulinPregnancyRisk FactorsBlood GlucoseInsulinalgorithmsgestational diabetes mellitusmachine learningmobile health

Identifiers

PMID33688832
PMCPMC7991989
OpenAlexW3123852124

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.