Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33684206›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences2021

Biological Aging Predicts Vulnerability to COVID-19 Severity in UK Biobank Participants.

Chia-Ling Kuo, Luke C Pilling, Janice L Atkins, Jane A H Masoli, João Delgado, Christopher Tignanelli, George A Kuchel, David Melzer, Kenneth B Beckman, Morgan E Levine

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Chia-Ling KuoConnecticut Convergence Institute for Translation in Regenerative Engineering, University of Connecticut Health, Farmington, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4452-2380
Luke C PillingUniversity of Connecticut Center on Aging, School of Medicine, Farmington, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3332-8454
Janice L AtkinsCollege of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4919-9068
Jane A H MasoliCollege of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3794-7065
João DelgadoCollege of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1648-871X
Christopher TignanelliDepartment of Surgery, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.
George A KuchelUniversity of Connecticut Center on Aging, School of Medicine, Farmington, USA.
David MelzerUniversity of Connecticut Center on Aging, School of Medicine, Farmington, USA.
Kenneth B BeckmanInstitute for Health Informatics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, USA.
Morgan E LevineDepartment of Pathology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.

Funding

Translational Geroscience NetworkR33AG061456 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI JAMES L. KIRKLAND, STEPHEN B. KRITCHEVSKY · 2019 to 2026
$6.2M
Molecular mechanisms and social constructs: How genes and environment regulate the rate of agingR00AG052604 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI LEVINE, MORGAN ELYSE, TIGNANELLI, CHRISTOPHER J · 2017 to 2020
$866k
Understanding the role of ApoE2 in longevity and age-related diseases and conditions using 500,000 UK Biobank participantsR21AG060018 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT SCH OF MED/DNT · PI KUO, CHIA-LING · 2018 to 2020
$434k
Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853Medical Research Council MR/S009892/1National Institute for Health Research DRF-2014-07-177NIA NIH HHS R21 AG060018NIA NIH HHS R33 AG061456NIH HHS R00AG052604University of Connecticut School of MedicineUniversity of Exeter Medical School
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAge and disease prevalence are the 2 biggest risk factors for Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) symptom severity and death. We therefore hypothesized that increased biological age, beyond chronological age, may be driving disease-related trends in COVID-19 severity.

methodsUsing the UK Biobank England data, we tested whether a biological age estimate (PhenoAge) measured more than a decade prior to the COVID-19 pandemic was predictive of 2 COVID-19 severity outcomes (inpatient test positivity and COVID-19-related mortality with inpatient test-confirmed COVID-19). Logistic regression models were used with adjustment for age at the pandemic, sex, ethnicity, baseline assessment centers, and preexisting diseases/conditions.

resultsSix hundred and thirteen participants tested positive at inpatient settings between March 16 and April 27, 2020, 154 of whom succumbed to COVID-19. PhenoAge was associated with increased risks of inpatient test positivity and COVID-19-related mortality (ORMortality = 1.63 per 5 years, 95% CI: 1.43-1.86, p = 4.7 × 10-13) adjusting for demographics including age at the pandemic. Further adjustment for preexisting diseases/conditions at baseline (ORM = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.30-1.73 per 5 years, p = 3.1 × 10-8) and at the early pandemic (ORM = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.04-1.40 per 5 years, p = .011) decreased the association.

conclusionsPhenoAge measured in 2006-2010 was associated with COVID-19 severity outcomes more than 10 years later. These associations were partly accounted for by prevalent chronic diseases proximate to COVID-19 infection. Overall, our results suggest that aging biomarkers, like PhenoAge may capture long-term vulnerability to diseases like COVID-19, even before the accumulation of age-related comorbid conditions.

Indexed as

Biological Specimen BanksSeverity of Illness IndexAgedAgingBiomarkersChronic DiseaseCOVID-19COVID-19 TestingHumansMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalMortalityPreexisting Condition CoverageSARS-CoV-2Time FactorsUnited KingdomBiomarkersBiological ageBiomarkersPhenotypic ageUK Biobank

Identifiers

PMID33684206
PMCPMC7989601

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.