Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33682475›Full record

ArticleJournal of cardiovascular pharmacology and therapeutics2021

Prediction of Drug-Induced Long QT Syndrome Using Machine Learning Applied to Harmonized Electronic Health Record Data.

Steven T Simon, Divneet Mandair, Premanand Tiwari, Michael A Rosenberg

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cardiovascular pharmacology and therapeutics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Steven T SimonDivision of Cardiology, 12225University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5385-3574
Divneet MandairDepartment of Medicine, 12225University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Premanand TiwariColorado Center for Personalized Medicine, 12225University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Michael A RosenbergDivision of Cardiology, 12225University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6708-1648

Funding

Development of End-To-End Clinical Decision Support Tools To Prevent Cardiotoxic Drug ResponseR01HL146824 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI ROSENBERG, MICHAEL A · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
Genetics of Cardiotoxic Drug ResponseK23HL127296 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI ROSENBERG, MICHAEL A · 2015 to 2020
$932k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL127296NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL146824
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDrug-induced QT prolongation is a potentially preventable cause of morbidity and mortality, however there are no widespread clinical tools utilized to predict which individuals are at greatest risk. Machine learning (ML) algorithms may provide a method for identifying these individuals, and could be automated to directly alert providers in real time.

objectiveThis study applies ML techniques to electronic health record (EHR) data to identify an integrated risk-prediction model that can be deployed to predict risk of drug-induced QT prolongation.

methodsWe examined harmonized data from the UCHealth EHR and identified inpatients who had received a medication known to prolong the QT interval. Using a binary outcome of the development of a QTc interval >500 ms within 24 hours of medication initiation or no ECG with a QTc interval >500 ms, we compared multiple machine learning methods by classification accuracy and performed calibration and rescaling of the final model.

resultsWe identified 35,639 inpatients who received a known QT-prolonging medication and an ECG performed within 24 hours of administration. Of those, 4,558 patients developed a QTc > 500 ms and 31,081 patients did not. A deep neural network with random oversampling of controls was found to provide superior classification accuracy (F1 score 0.404; AUC 0.71) for the development of a long QT interval compared with other methods. The optimal cutpoint for prediction was determined and was reasonably accurate (sensitivity 71%; specificity 73%).

conclusionsWe found that deep neural networks applied to EHR data provide reasonable prediction of which individuals are most susceptible to drug-induced QT prolongation. Future studies are needed to validate this model in novel EHRs and within the physician order entry system to assess the ability to improve patient safety.

Indexed as

Deep LearningElectrocardiographyAdultAgedElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansLong QT SyndromeMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedRisk Assessmentdrug-induced long QT syndromeelectronic health recordmachine learning

Identifiers

PMID33682475
PMCPMC8411414

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.