Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33681474›Full record

ArticleNature sustainability2020

Effects of a natural disaster on mortality risks over the longer term.

Elizabeth Frankenberg, Cecep Sumantri, Duncan Thomas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature sustainability, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Exposure to the Indian Ocean Tsunami shapes the HPA-axis resulting in HPA "burnout" 14 years later.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  5. Climate Change and Aging Health in Developing Countries.Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ) · 2023
    Article
  6. Examining the Indirect Death Surveillance System of The Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Elizabeth FrankenbergDepartment of Sociology and Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Cecep SumantriSurveyMETER, Indonesia.
Duncan ThomasDepartment of Economics, Duke University.

Funding

STALLARD Admin Supp: Predicting Future Care Needs and Costs for Individual Medicare Enrollees with Incident Suspected Alzheimer's DiseaseP30AG034424 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI SCOTT M. LYNCH · 2009 to 2026
$12.2M
Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
Longer Term Effects of a Natural Disaster on Health and Socio-Economic StatusR01HD052762 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI FRANKENBERG, ELIZABETH A, THOMAS, DUNCAN · 2007 to 2024
$7.4M
The Evolution of Well-Being among Older Adults after a DisasterR01AG031266 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI FRANKENBERG, ELIZABETH A, THOMAS, DUNCAN · 2008 to 2017
$4.8M
Long-term Effects of a Natural Disaster on Cognitive Aging, Dementia, Health and Well-being of Older AdultsR01AG065395 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ELIZABETH A FRANKENBERG, Duncan Thomas · 2020 to 2026
$3.2M
Social and Economic Effects of a Natural DisasterR21HD051970 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI FRANKENBERG, ELIZABETH A · 2006 to 2007
$277k
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG034424NIA NIH HHS R01 AG031266NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065395NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD052762NICHD NIH HHS R21 HD051970Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Exposure to disasters and other extreme events is rising across the globe but the impact on long-term mortality risks of affected populations is not established. We examine how mortality and individual-specific traumatic exposures at the time of the disaster affect mortality risks of survivors over the next ten years, using data from Aceh, Indonesia collected before and after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami. Across communities, the higher the percentage of individuals killed in the tsunami, the lower the mortality rate for adults over the next decade. However, among older adults post-disaster mortality is elevated for males with poor post-tsunami psychosocial health and for females whose spouse died in the tsunami. Individual-specific tsunami exposures do not affect mortality of younger adults within the 10 year time frame. Whereas positive mortality selection is evident for all adults, scarring is evident only for older adults and is large enough to substantively counteract the reductions in risk from positive mortality selection.

Identifiers

PMID33681474
PMCPMC7935047

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.