Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33681334›Full record

ReviewFrontiers in veterinary science2021

A Meta-Analysis of the Effect of Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Vaccination Against Bovine Tuberculosis: Is Perfect the Enemy of Good?

Sreenidhi Srinivasan, Andrew J K Conlan, Laurel A Easterling, Christian Herrera, Premanshu Dandapat, Maroudam Veerasami, Gobena Ameni, Naresh Jindal, Gopal Dhinakar Raj, James Wood and 4 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Frontiers in veterinary science, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 63 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Recovery ofOpen forum infectious diseases · 2025
    Article
  5. JDS communications · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Specific and non-specific effects ofFrontiers in veterinary science · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Vaccination of Calves with theAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2022
    Article
  19. HarnessingVaccines · 2022
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 9 institutions in 4 countries.

Sreenidhi SrinivasanDepartment of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States.
Andrew J K ConlanDisease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Laurel A EasterlingSchool of Veterinary Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States.
Christian HerreraDepartment of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States.
Premanshu DandapatIndian Veterinary Research Institute, Eastern Regional Station, Kolkata, India.
Maroudam VeerasamiCisgen Biotech Discoveries Pvt Ltd, Chennai, India.
Gobena AmeniAklilu Lemma Institute of Pathobiology, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Naresh JindalDepartment of Veterinary Public Health and Epidemiology, Lala Lajpat Rai University of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Hisar, India.
Gopal Dhinakar RajTranslational Research Platform for Veterinary Biological, Tamil Nadu University of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Chennai, India.
James WoodDisease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Nick JuleffThe Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, United States.
Douwe BakkerTechnical Consultant and Independent Researcher, Lelystad, Netherlands.
Martin VordermeierAnimal and Plant Health Agency, Addlestone, United Kingdom.
Vivek KapurDepartment of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States.
Pennsylvania State University · USUniversity of Cambridge · GBAddis Ababa University · ETAnimal and Plant Health Agency · GBBill & Melinda Gates Foundation · USBiotech Park · INIndian Veterinary Research Institute · INLala Lajpat Rai University of Veterinary and Animal Sciences · INUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

More than 50 million cattle are likely exposed to bovine tuberculosis (bTB) worldwide, highlighting an urgent need for bTB control strategies in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) and other regions where the disease remains endemic and test-and-slaughter approaches are unfeasible. While Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) was first developed as a vaccine for use in cattle even before its widespread use in humans, its efficacy against bTB remains poorly understood. To address this important knowledge gap, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the direct efficacy of BCG against bTB challenge in cattle, and performed scenario analyses with transmission dynamic models incorporating direct and indirect vaccinal effects ("herd-immunity") to assess potential impact on herd level disease control. The analysis shows a relative risk of infection of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.82) in 1,902 vaccinates as compared with 1,667 controls, corresponding to a direct vaccine efficacy of 25% (95% CI: 18, 32). Importantly, scenario analyses considering both direct and indirect effects suggest that disease prevalence could be driven down close to Officially TB-Free (OTF) status (<0.1%), if BCG were introduced in the next 10-year time period in low to moderate (<15%) prevalence settings, and that 50-95% of cumulative cases may be averted over the next 50 years even in high (20-40%) disease burden settings with immediate implementation of BCG vaccination. Taken together, the analyses suggest that BCG vaccination may help accelerate control of bTB in endemic settings, particularly with early implementation in the face of dairy intensification in regions that currently lack effective bTB control programs.

Indexed as

BCG vaccinebovine tuberculosiscattlecontrol programefficacy

Identifiers

PMID33681334
PMCPMC7930010
OpenAlexW3133153026

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.