ArticleHealthcare (Basel, Switzerland)2021
Total Health Expenditure and Its Driving Factors in China: A Gray Theory Analysis.
Article in Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Equity of total health expenditure in China, 2015-2021.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Physician agency in China: evidence from physicians' responses to financial pressure during the COVID-19 pandemic.Health economics review · 2025Article
- The impact of digital inclusive finance on medical and health service expenditures in urban and rural areas of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.BMC health services research · 2025Article
- Determinants of capital structure: a case of hospitals in China.BMC health services research · 2025Article
- A retrospective study of insurance coverage status and economic cost of rare diseases in Hainan Province.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Effects of DRG/DIP payment reform on hospital pharmacy administration and pharmaceutical services in China: a multicenter cross-sectional study.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Identifying Influential Variables on Health Expenditure of the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) Countries.Iranian journal of public health · 2024Article
- Regional disparities and influencing factors of high quality medical resources distribution in China.International journal for equity in health · 2023Article
- The Influence of Diagnosis Intervention Packet Policy Intervention on Medication Structure and Drug Cost of Elderly Hypertensive Inpatients in China: A Multicenter Interrupted Time-Series Analysis.Risk management and healthcare policy · 2023Article
- Did the universal zero-markup drug policy lower healthcare expenditures? Evidence from Changde, China.BMC health services research · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The continuous growth in total health expenditure (THE) has become a social issue of common concern in most countries. In China, the total health expenditure (THE) is maintaining a rapid growth trend that is higher than that of the economy, which has become increasingly obvious in the 21st century and has brought a heavy burden to the government and residents. To analyze the main driving factors of THE in China in the 21st century and establish a predictive model, gray system theory was employed to explore the correlation degree between THE and nine hot topics in the areas of the economy, population, health service utilization, and policy using national data from 2000 to 2018. Additionally, a New Structure of the Multivariate Gray Prediction Model of THE was established and compared with the traditional grey model and widely used BP neural network to evaluate the prediction effectiveness of the model. We concluded that the Chinese government and society have played a crucial role in reducing residents' medical burden. Besides this, the improved economy and aging population have increased the demand for health services, leading to the continual increase in THE. Lastly, the improved NSGM(1,N) model achieved good prediction accuracy and has unique advantages in simulating and predicting THE, which can provide a basis for policy formulation.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.