Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33667812›Full record

ArticleComputers in biology and medicine2021

Predicting presumed serious infection among hospitalized children on central venous lines with machine learning.

Azade Tabaie, Evan W Orenstein, Shamim Nemati, Rajit K Basu, Swaminathan Kandaswamy, Gari D Clifford, Rishikesan Kamaleswaran

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Computers in biology and medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Azade TabaieDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA. Electronic address: azade.tabaie@emory.edu.
Evan W OrensteinDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Shamim NematiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.
Rajit K BasuDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Swaminathan KandaswamyDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Gari D CliffordDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA; Department of Biomedical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology and Emory School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Rishikesan KamaleswaranDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA; Department of Biomedical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology and Emory School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Funding

Implementing a Maternal health and PRegnancy Outcomes Vision for Everyone (IMPROVE)UL1TR002378 · NCATS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Andres J Garcia, Elizabeth O. Ofili · 2017 to 2026
$92.1M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002378
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPresumed serious infection (PSI) is defined as a blood culture drawn and new antibiotic course of at least 4 days among pediatric patients with Central Venous Lines (CVLs). Early PSI prediction and use of medical interventions can prevent adverse outcomes and improve the quality of care.

methodsClinical features including demographics, laboratory results, vital signs, characteristics of the CVLs and medications used were extracted retrospectively from electronic medical records. Data were aggregated across all hospitals within a single pediatric health system and used to train machine learning models (XGBoost and ElasticNet) to predict the occurrence of PSI 8 h prior to clinical suspicion. Prediction for PSI was benchmarked against PRISM-III.

resultsOur model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.84 (95% CI = [0.82, 0.85]), sensitivity of 0.73 [0.69, 0.74], and positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.36 [0.34, 0.36]. The PRISM-III conversely achieved a lower sensitivity of 0.19 [0.16, 0.22] and PPV of 0.30 [0.26, 0.34] at a cut-off of ≥ 10. The features with the most impact on the PSI prediction were maximum diastolic blood pressure prior to PSI prediction (mean SHAP = 3.4), height (mean SHAP = 3.2), and maximum temperature prior to PSI prediction (mean SHAP = 2.6).

conclusionA machine learning model using common features in the electronic medical records can predict the onset of serious infections in children with central venous lines at least 8 h prior to when a clinical team drew a blood culture.

Indexed as

Child, HospitalizedMachine LearningChildHumansPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveCLABSIInfectionMachine learningPredictive modelSepsis

Identifiers

PMID33667812
PMCPMC9207586

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.