ArticleThe Journal of ecology2021
Do bark beetle outbreaks amplify or dampen future bark beetle disturbances in Central Europe?
Article in The Journal of ecology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Emergency Control Strategies forInsects · 2026Article
- Tree Regeneration After Unprecedented Forest Disturbances in Central Europe Is Robust but Maladapted to Future Climate Change.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Taylor's law predicts unprecedented pulses of forest disturbance under global change.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Ecology, Floristic-Vegetational Features, and Future Perspectives of Spruce Forests Affected byPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- The increasing role of drought as an inciting factor of bark beetle outbreaks can cause large-scale transformation of Central European forests.Landscape ecology · 2025Article
- Article
- The Legacy Effect of Mountain Pine Beetle Outbreaks on the Chemical and Anatomical Defences of Surviving Lodgepole Pine Trees.Metabolites · 2024Article
- Forest top canopy bacterial communities are influenced by elevation and host tree traits.Environmental microbiome · 2024Article
- Comparative gut proteomics study revealing adaptive physiology of Eurasian spruce bark beetle,Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Balancing disturbance risk and ecosystem service provisioning in Swiss mountain forests: an increasing challenge under climate change.Regional environmental change · 2023Article
- Post-disturbance reorganization of forest ecosystems in a changing world.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- Managing for the unexpected: Building resilient forest landscapes to cope with global change.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Accelerating Mountain Forest Dynamics in the Alps.Ecosystems (New York, N.Y.) · 2022Article
- Article
- Do bark beetle outbreaks amplify or dampen future bark beetle disturbances in Central Europe?The Journal of ecology · 2021Article
- Reference Gene Selection for Normalizing Gene Expression inFrontiers in physiology · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Bark beetle outbreaks have intensified in many forests around the globe in recent years. Yet, the legacy of these disturbances for future forest development remains unclear. Bark beetle disturbances are expected to increase further because of climate change. Consequently, feedbacks within the disturbance regime are of growing interest, for example, whether bark beetle outbreaks are amplifying future bark beetle activity (through the initiation of an even-aged cohort of trees) or dampening it (through increased structural and compositional diversity).We studied bark beetle-vegetation-climate interactions in the Bavarian Forest National Park (Germany), an area characterised by unprecedented bark beetle activity in the recent past. We simulated the effect of future bark beetle outbreaks on forest structure and composition and analysed how disturbance-mediated forest dynamics influence future bark beetle activity under different scenarios of climate change. We used process-based simulation modelling in combination with machine learning to disentangle the long-term interactions between vegetation, climate and bark beetles at the landscape scale.Disturbances by the European spruce bark beetle were strongly amplified by climate change, increasing between 59% and 221% compared to reference climate. Bark beetle outbreaks reduced the dominance of Norway spruce (
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