Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33664233›Full record

ArticleTranslational psychiatry2021

Differential predictors for alcohol use in adolescents as a function of familial risk.

Mira Tschorn, Robert C Lorenz, Paul F O'Reilly, Abraham Reichenberg, Tobias Banaschewski, Arun L W Bokde, Erin B Quinlan, Sylvane Desrivières, Herta Flor, Antoine Grigis and 17 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Translational psychiatry, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Alcohol Consumption Patterns: A Systematic Review of Demographic and Sociocultural Influencing Factors.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. The Brain Age Gap as a Predictor of Alcohol Initiation in Adolescence.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Predictors of Alcohol Use, Alcohol-Related Problems, and Substance Use Following Adolescent Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Alcohol, neuronal plasticity, and mitochondrial trafficking.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors at 20 institutions in 7 countries.

Mira TschornSocial and Preventive Medicine, Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Intra-faculty unit "Cognitive Sciences", Faculty of Human Science, and Faculty of Health Sciences Brandenburg, Research Area Services Research and e-Health, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany.
Robert C LorenzSocial and Preventive Medicine, Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Intra-faculty unit "Cognitive Sciences", Faculty of Human Science, and Faculty of Health Sciences Brandenburg, Research Area Services Research and e-Health, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany.
Paul F O'ReillySocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Abraham ReichenbergDepartment of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Tobias BanaschewskiDepartment of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Square J5, 68159, Mannheim, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4595-1144
Arun L W BokdeDiscipline of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Trinity College Institute of Neuroscience, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0003-0114-4914
Erin B QuinlanCentre for Population Neuroscience and Precision Medicine (PONS), Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, SGDP Centre, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2927-1632
Sylvane DesrivièresCentre for Population Neuroscience and Precision Medicine (PONS), Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, SGDP Centre, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9120-7060
Herta FlorInstitute of Cognitive and Clinical Neuroscience, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Square J5, Mannheim, Germany.
Antoine GrigisNeuroSpin, CEA, Université Paris-Saclay, F-91191, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
Hugh GaravanDepartments of Psychiatry and Psychology, University of Vermont, 05405, Burlington, VT, USA.
Penny GowlandSir Peter Mansfield Imaging Centre School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Nottingham, University Park, Nottingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4900-4817
Bernd IttermannPhysikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB), Braunschweig and Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Jean-Luc MartinotInstitut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, INSERM U1299 "Trajectoires développementales & psychiatrie", University Paris Saclay, Ecole Normale supérieure Paris-Saclay, CNRS, Centre Borelli, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0136-0388
Eric ArtigesInstitut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, INSERM U1299 "Trajectoires développementales & psychiatrie", University Paris Saclay, Ecole Normale supérieure Paris-Saclay, CNRS, Centre Borelli; and Psychiatry Department, EPS Barthélémy Durand, Etampes, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4461-7646
Frauke NeesDepartment of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Square J5, 68159, Mannheim, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7796-8234
Dimitri Papadopoulos OrfanosNeuroSpin, CEA, Université Paris-Saclay, F-91191, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1242-8990
Luise PoustkaDepartment of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Centre Göttingen, von-Siebold-Str. 5, 37075, Göttingen, Germany.
Sabina MillenetDepartment of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Square J5, 68159, Mannheim, Germany.
Juliane H FröhnerDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuroimaging Center, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8493-6396
Michael N SmolkaDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuroimaging Center, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5398-5569
Henrik WalterDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy CCM, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9403-6121
Robert WhelanSchool of Psychology and Global Brain Health Institute, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Gunter SchumannSocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Andreas HeinzDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy CCM, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5405-9065
Michael A RappSocial and Preventive Medicine, Department of Sports and Health Sciences, Intra-faculty unit "Cognitive Sciences", Faculty of Human Science, and Faculty of Health Sciences Brandenburg, Research Area Services Research and e-Health, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany. Michael.Rapp@uni-potsdam.de.ORCID 0000-0003-0106-966X
IMAGEN Consortium
King's College London · GBHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin · DECentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRTrinity College Dublin · IETechnische Universität Dresden · DECommissariat à l'Énergie Atomique et aux Énergies Alternatives · FRUniversity of Nottingham · GBHeidelberg University · DECentral Institute of Mental Health · DEPhysikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt · DEUniversität Hamburg · DEUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Potsdam · DEUniversity College Dublin · IEUniversity of Toronto · CAUniversity of Göttingen · DEUniversity of Mannheim · DEUniversity of Vermont · USDeutsches Herzzentrum der Charité · DEFudan University · CN

Funding

Training U54EB020403 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI THOMPSON, PAUL M · 2014 to 2018
$10.1M
A decentralized macro and micro gene-by-environment interaction analysis of substance use behavior and its brain biomarkers R01DA049238 · NIDA · GEORGIA STATE UNIVERSITY · PI CALHOUN, VINCE D, LIU, JINGYU · 2019 to 2023
$2.9M
Axon, Testosterone and Mental Health during AdolescenceR01MH085772 · NIMH · BAYCREST CENTRE FOR GERIATRIC CARE · PI PAUS, TOMAS · 2010 to 2014
$1.5M
ENIGMA World Aging CenterR56AG058854 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI THOMPSON, PAUL M · 2018 to 2018
$683k
Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency) AAPG2019 - GeBraAgence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency) AF12-NEUR0008-01-WM2NAAgence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency) ANR-18-NEUR00002-01-ADOReBundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research) 01EE1406ABundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research) 01EE1406IBundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research) 01EV0711Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research) SFB 940Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research) SM 80/7-2Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation) SFB 940Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation) TRR 265EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 695313EC | Seventh Framework Programme (EC Seventh Framework Programm) PR-ST-0416-10004EC | Sixth Framework Programme (EC Sixth Framework Programme) LSHM-CT-2007-037286Fondation de France 00081242Fondation de l'Avenir pour la Recherche Médicale Appliquée (Fondation de l'Avenir) AP-RM-17-013Fondation pour la Recherche Médicale (Foundation for Medical Research in France) DPA20140629802Medical Research Council MR/S020306/1MRF_ MRF-058-0004-RG-DESRIMRF_ MRF-058-0009-RG-DESR-C0759NIA NIH HHS R56 AG058854NIBIB NIH HHS U54 EB020403NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA049238NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH085772RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC) MR/N000390/1RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC) MR/R00465X/1Science Foundation Ireland (SFI) 16/ERCD/3797U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) R01DA049238
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Traditional models of future alcohol use in adolescents have used variable-centered approaches, predicting alcohol use from a set of variables across entire samples or populations. Following the proposition that predictive factors may vary in adolescents as a function of family history, we used a two-pronged approach by first defining clusters of familial risk, followed by prediction analyses within each cluster. Thus, for the first time in adolescents, we tested whether adolescents with a family history of drug abuse exhibit a set of predictors different from adolescents without a family history. We apply this approach to a genetic risk score and individual differences in personality, cognition, behavior (risk-taking and discounting) substance use behavior at age 14, life events, and functional brain imaging, to predict scores on the alcohol use disorders identification test (AUDIT) at age 14 and 16 in a sample of adolescents (N = 1659 at baseline, N = 1327 at follow-up) from the IMAGEN cohort, a longitudinal community-based cohort of adolescents. In the absence of familial risk (n = 616), individual differences in baseline drinking, personality measures (extraversion, negative thinking), discounting behaviors, life events, and ventral striatal activation during reward anticipation were significantly associated with future AUDIT scores, while the overall model explained 22% of the variance in future AUDIT. In the presence of familial risk (n = 711), drinking behavior at age 14, personality measures (extraversion, impulsivity), behavioral risk-taking, and life events were significantly associated with future AUDIT scores, explaining 20.1% of the overall variance. Results suggest that individual differences in personality, cognition, life events, brain function, and drinking behavior contribute differentially to the prediction of future alcohol misuse. This approach may inform more individualized preventive interventions.

Indexed as

AlcoholismAdolescentAlcohol DrinkingGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansImpulsive BehaviorRewardRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID33664233
PMCPMC7933140
OpenAlexW3134481523

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.