Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33655361›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2021

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Prognostic Model for Resected Limited-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients.

Qingpeng Zeng, Jiagen Li, Fengwei Tan, Nan Sun, Yousheng Mao, Yushun Gao, Qi Xue, Shugeng Gao, Jun Zhao, Jie He

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Qingpeng ZengDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Jiagen LiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Fengwei TanDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Nan SunDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Yousheng MaoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Yushun GaoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Qi XueDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Shugeng GaoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China.
Jun ZhaoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China. drzhaojun@126.com.
Jie HeDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No. 17, Panjiayuan Nanli, Beijing, 100021, China. prof.jiehe@gmail.com.

Funding

CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences 2016-I2M-1-001CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences 2017-I2M-1-005National Key Basic Research Development Plan 2018YFC1312105National Key Research and Development Program of China 2016YFC0901401
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn this study, we developed and validated nomograms for predicting the survival in surgically resected limited-stage small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients.

methodsThe SCLC patients extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2000 and 2014 were reviewed. Significant prognostic factors were identified and integrated to develop the nomogram using multivariable Cox regression. The model was then validated internally by bootstrap resampling, and externally using an independent SCLC cohort diagnosed between 2000 and 2015 at our institution. The prognostic performance was measured by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve.

resultsA total of 1006 resected limited-stage SCLC patients were included in the training cohort. Overall, 444 cases from our institution constituted the validation cohort. Seven prognostic factors were identified and entered into the nomogram construction. The C-indexes of this model in the training cohort were 0.723, 0.722, and 0.746 for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS), respectively, and 0.816, 0.710, and 0.693, respectively, in the validation cohort. The calibration curve showed optimal agreement between nomogram-predicted survival and actual observed survival. Additionally, significant distinctions in survival curves between different risk groups stratified by prognostic scores were also observed. The proposed nomogram was then deployed into a website server for convenient application.

conclusionsWe developed and validated novel nomograms for individual prediction of survival for resected limited-stage SCLC patients. These models perform better than the previously widely used staging system and may offer clinicians instructions for strategy making and the design of clinical trials.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsSmall Cell Lung CarcinomaCohort StudiesHumansNeoplasm StagingNomogramsPrognosisSEER Program

Identifiers

PMID33655361
PMCPMC8349336

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.