Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33650435›Full record

ArticleCirculation2021

Very High Coronary Artery Calcium (≥1000) and Association With Cardiovascular Disease Events, Non-Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes, and Mortality: Results From MESA.

Allison W Peng, Zeina A Dardari, Roger S Blumenthal, Omar Dzaye, Olufunmilayo H Obisesan, S M Iftekhar Uddin, Khurram Nasir, Ron Blankstein, Matthew J Budoff, Martin Bødtker Mortensen and 3 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 82 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
82citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
13.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

82 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 140 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Atherosclerosis after pre-eclampsia: systematic review and meta-analysis.Ultrasound in obstetrics & gynecology : the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · 2026
    Pooled it
  5. Fully automated deep learning powered calcium scoring in patients undergoing myocardial perfusion imaging.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2023
    Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Dyslipidaemias in cancer patients.European heart journal · 2026
    Review
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22 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Allison W PengJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
Zeina A DardariJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
Roger S BlumenthalJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
Omar DzayeJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
Olufunmilayo H ObisesanJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
S M Iftekhar UddinJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
Khurram NasirDivision of Cardiovascular Prevention and Wellness, Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center, Center for Outcomes Research, Houston Methodist Hospital, TX (K.N.).
Ron BlanksteinCardiovascular Imaging Program, Departments of Medicine (Cardiovascular Division) and Radiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (R.B.).
Matthew J BudoffDepartment of Medicine, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA (M.J.Budoff).
Martin Bødtker MortensenJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
Parag H JoshiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas (P.H.J.).
John PageCenter for Observational Research, Amgen Inc, Thousand Oaks, CA (J.P.).
Michael J BlahaJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD (A.W.P., Z.A.D., R.S.B., O.D., O.H.O., S.M.I.U., M.B.M., M.J.Blaha).
Johns Hopkins University · USAmgen (United States) · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USHouston Methodist · USThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USUCLA Medical Center · US

Funding

Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
Wake Forest Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR001420 · NCATS · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI ARD, JAMY D, FOLEY, KRISTIE L · 2015 to 2023
$32.3M
Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000040 · NCATS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2012 to 2015
$26.2M
Task Area A Core Study Operations.Task Area A shall encompass annual follow-up of cohort members, clinical endpoints ascertainment, study coordination activities, maintenance of the database and biosp75N92020D00001 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI MCCLELLAND, ROBYN LEAGH · 2020 to 2025
$17.2M
Task Area A shall encompass annual follow-up of cohort members, clinical events investigations, study operations, and data analysis and manuscript writing. If implemented, Task A.1 will provide fundin75N92020D00005 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI WATSON, KAROL E · 2020 to 2025
$5.1M
TO EXERCISE OPTION PERIOD ONE (1) FOR TASK AREA A - MESA CORE OPERATIONS, FIELD CENTER.75N92020D00004 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY · PI SIEGEL, JONATHAN H · 2020 to 2025
$4.5M
Task Area A shall encompass annual follow-up of cohort members, clinical events investigations, study operations, and data analysis and manuscript writing. If implemented, Task A.1 will provide fundin75N92020D00006 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI PANKOW, JAMES S · 2020 to 2025
$4.4M
Task Area A shall encompass annual follow-up of cohort members, clinical events investigations, study operations, and data analysis and manuscript writing. If implemented, Task A.1 will provide fundin75N92020D00003 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI POST, WENDY S · 2020 to 2025
$3.8M
Task Area A shall encompass annual follow-up of cohort members, clinical events investigations, study operations, and data analysis and manuscript writing. If implemented, Task A.1 will provide fundin75N92020D00007 · NHLBI · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI BERTONI, ALAIN GERALD · 2020 to 2025
$3.5M
Task Area A shall encompass annual follow-up of cohort members, clinical events investigations, study operations, and data analysis and manuscript writing. If implemented, Task A.1 will provide fundin75N92020D00002 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHEA, STEVEN J · 2020 to 2025
$3.4M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDYN01HC095166 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1999 to 2001
$758k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-FIELD CENTERN01HC095162 · HC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SZKLO, MOYSES A · 1999 to 2000
$694k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000040NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001420NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020D00001NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020D00002NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020D00003NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020D00004NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020D00005NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020D00006NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92020D00007NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500003CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500003INHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095160NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095161NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095162NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095163NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095164NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095165NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095166NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095167NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095168NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095169
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere are limited data on the unique cardiovascular disease (CVD), non-CVD, and mortality risks of primary prevention individuals with very high coronary artery calcium (CAC; ≥1000), especially compared with rates observed in secondary prevention populations.

methodsOur study population consisted of 6814 ethnically diverse individuals 45 to 84 years of age who were free of known CVD from MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), a prospective, observational, community-based cohort. Mean follow-up time was 13.6±4.4 years. Hazard ratios of CAC ≥1000 were compared with both CAC 0 and CAC 400 to 999 for CVD, non-CVD, and mortality outcomes with the use of Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted for age, sex, and traditional risk factors. Using a sex-adjusted logarithmic model, we calculated event rates in MESA as a function of CAC and compared them with those observed in the placebo group of stable secondary prevention patients in the FOURIER clinical trial (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research With PCSK9 Inhibition in Subjects With Elevated Risk).

resultsCompared with CAC 400 to 999, those with CAC ≥1000 (n=257) had a greater mean number of coronary vessels with CAC (3.4±0.5), greater total area of CAC (586.5±275.2 mm

conclusionsIndividuals with very high CAC (≥1000) are a unique population at substantially higher risk for CVD events, non-CVD outcomes, and mortality than those with lower CAC, with 3-point major adverse cardiovascular event rates similar to those of a stable treated secondary prevention population. Future guidelines should consider a less distinct stratification algorithm between primary and secondary prevention patients in guiding aggressive preventive pharmacotherapy.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overCalciumCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSurvival AnalysisTreatment OutcomeCalciumcardiac imaging techniquescardiovascular diseasesmortalityprimary preventionrisk assessmentsecondary prevention

Identifiers

PMID33650435
PMCPMC8058297
OpenAlexW3135815239

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.