Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33650201›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2021

Risk of symptomatic COVID-19 due to aircraft transmission: a retrospective cohort study of contact-traced flights during England's containment phase.

Paula Bianca Blomquist, Hikaru Bolt, Simon Packer, Ulf Schaefer, Steven Platt, Gavin Dabrera, Maya Gobin, Isabel Oliver

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Risk of Aircraft-Acquired SARS-CoV-2 Transmission during Commercial Flights: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  6. Intuitionistic fuzzy set ofInternational journal of intelligent systems · 2022
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  7. Review
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  9. Attack Rate for Wild-Type SARS-CoV-2 during Air Travel: Results from 46 Flights Traced by German Health Authorities, January-March and June-August 2020.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Paula Bianca BlomquistUK Field Epidemiology Training Programme, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-3962-4211
Hikaru BoltSouth East and London Field Services, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Simon PackerSouth West Field Services, National Infection Service, Public Health England, Bristol, United Kingdom.
Ulf SchaeferCore Bioinformatics Group, Data and Analytical Sciences, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Steven PlattNational Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Gavin DabreraNational Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Maya GobinSouth West Field Services, National Infection Service, Public Health England, Bristol, United Kingdom.
Isabel OliverNational Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Public Health England · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundKnowledge gaps remain regarding SARS-CoV-2 transmission on flights. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to estimate risk of acquiring symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 on aircraft, to inform contact tracing and infection control efforts.

methodsWe identified co-passengers of infectious passengers on 18 England-bound flights from European cities up to 12/03/2020, using manifests received for contact tracing. Infectious passengers were laboratory-confirmed cases with symptom onset from 7 days before to 2 days after the flight. Possible aircraft-acquired cases were laboratory-confirmed with onset 3-14 days post-flight with no known non-flight exposure. Manifests was merged with the national case management dataset (identifying cases, onset dates, contact tracing status) and the national COVID-19 linelist. Contact tracing notes were reviewed to identify non-flight exposures. We calculated attack rates (ARs) among all co-passengers and within subgroups, including by distance from infectious cases and number of infectious cases on-board.

resultsThere were 55 infectious passengers and 2313 co-passengers, including 2221 flight-only contacts. Five possible aircraft-acquired cases were identified; ARs of 0.2% (95%CI 0.1-0.5) among all flight-only contacts and 3.8% (95%CI 1.3-10.6) among contact-traced flight-only contacts sat within a two-seat radius. The AR among 92 co-travellers with known non-flight exposure to infectious cases was 13.0% (95%CI 7.6%-21.4%). There were insufficient numbers to assess differences between subgroups.

conclusionWe conclude that risk of symptomatic COVID-19 due to transmission on short to medium-haul flights is low, and recommend prioritising contact-tracing of close contacts and co-travellers where resources are limited. Further research on risk on aircraft is encouraged.

Indexed as

Air TravelContact TracingSARS-CoV-2AdultCOVID-19FemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPhysical DistancingRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsWhole Genome SequencingAircraftContact tracingCOVID-19EpidemiologySARS-CoV-2Transmission

Identifiers

PMID33650201
PMCPMC8013760
OpenAlexW3134629663

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.