Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33649905›Full record

ArticleJournal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine2021

Effects of New York's Executive Order on Face Mask Use on COVID-19 Infections and Mortality: A Modeling Study.

Mingwang Shen, Jian Zu, Christopher K Fairley, José A Pagán, Bart Ferket, Bian Liu, Stella S Yi, Earle Chambers, Guoqiang Li, Yuming Guo and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. Critical timing and extent of public health interventions to control outbreaks dominated by SARS-CoV-2 variants in Australia: a mathematical modelling study.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Mingwang Shen *China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Jian Zu *School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Christopher K FairleyChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
José A PagánDepartment of Public Health Policy and Management, College of Global Public Health, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
Bart FerketDepartment of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Bian LiuDepartment of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Stella S YiDepartment of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Earle ChambersDepartment of Family and Social Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Montefiore Health System, Bronx, NY, USA.
Guoqiang LiSchool of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Yuming GuoDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Libin RongDepartment of Mathematics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Yanni XiaoSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Guihua ZhuangChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Alexis ZebrowskiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Brendan G CarrDepartment of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Yan LiDepartment of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA. yan.li1@mountsinai.org.ORCID 0000-0001-6155-0389
Lei ZhangChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China. lei.zhang1@xjtu.edu.cn.

Funding

A POPULATION BASED APPROACH TO IMPROVE OUTCOMES AFTER OUT-OF-HOSPITAL CARDIAC ARRESTR01HL141841 · NHLBI · THOMAS JEFFERSON UNIVERSITY · PI CARR, BRENDAN G · 2018 to 2022
$3.8M
Assessment of Policies through Prediction of Long-term Effects on Cardiovascular Disease Using Simulation (APPLE CDS)R01HL141427 · NHLBI · NEW YORK ACADEMY OF MEDICINE · PI LIU, BIAN, YI, STELLA S · 2018 to 2021
$3.5M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL141427NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL141841
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There is growing evidence on the effect of face mask use in controlling the spread of COVID-19. However, few studies have examined the effect of local face mask policies on the pandemic. In this study, we developed a dynamic compartmental model of COVID-19 transmission in New York City (NYC), which was the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA. We used data on daily and cumulative COVID-19 infections and deaths from the NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene to calibrate and validate our model. We then used the model to assess the effect of the executive order on face mask use on infections and deaths due to COVID-19 in NYC. Our results showed that the executive order on face mask use was estimated to avert 99,517 (95% CIs 72,723-126,312) COVID-19 infections and 7978 (5692-10,265) deaths in NYC. If the executive order was implemented 1 week earlier (on April 10), the averted infections and deaths would be 111,475 (81,593-141,356) and 9017 (6446-11,589), respectively. If the executive order was implemented 2 weeks earlier (on April 3 when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended face mask use), the averted infections and deaths would be 128,598 (94,373-162,824) and 10,515 (7540-13,489), respectively. Our study provides public health practitioners and policymakers with evidence on the importance of implementing face mask policies in local areas as early as possible to control the spread of COVID-19 and reduce mortality.

Indexed as

COVID-19MasksHumansNew York CityPandemicsSARS-CoV-2COVID-19Mitigation strategyNon-pharmaceutical interventionUrban health

Identifiers

PMID33649905
PMCPMC7919630

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.