Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33647223›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Genomic and precision medicine2021

Predictive Accuracy of a Polygenic Risk Score for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery.

Miklos D Kertai, Jonathan D Mosley, Jing He, Abinaya Ramakrishnan, Mark J Abdelmalak, Yurim Hong, M Benjamin Shoemaker, Dan M Roden, Lisa Bastarache

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Genomic and precision medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Understanding the Diseased Atria.Physiology (Bethesda, Md.) · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. PreoperativeFrontiers in bioinformatics · 2026
    Review
  5. [Genetic basis of atrial fibrillation-on the road to precision medicine].Herzschrittmachertherapie & Elektrophysiologie · 2024
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Advances in basic and translational research in atrial fibrillation.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Miklos D KertaiDepartments of Anesthesiology (M.D.K.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Jonathan D MosleyMedicine (J.D.M., D.M.R.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Jing HeBiomedical Informatics (J.H., L.B., D.M.R.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Abinaya RamakrishnanVanderbilt University, Nashville, TN (A.R., M.A., Y.H.).
Mark J AbdelmalakVanderbilt University, Nashville, TN (A.R., M.A., Y.H.).
Yurim HongVanderbilt University, Nashville, TN (A.R., M.A., Y.H.).
M Benjamin ShoemakerDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Nashville VA Medical Center and Vanderbilt University, TN (M.B.S.).
Dan M RodenMedicine (J.D.M., D.M.R.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Lisa BastaracheBiomedical Informatics (J.H., L.B., D.M.R.), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Vanderbilt University Medical Center · USVanderbilt University · US

Funding

From GWAS to PheWAS: Scanning the EMR Phenome for Gene-disease AssociationsR01LM010685 · NLM · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BASTARACHE, LISA · 2011 to 2022
$6.3M
Leveraging common genetic variation to reduce misclassification of non-diseased individuals and unnecessary health care utilization attributable to surrogate biomarkersR01GM130791 · NIGMS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI MOSLEY, JONATHAN DAVID · 2019 to 2023
$2.3M
American Heart Association-American Stroke Association 16FTF30130005NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM130791NLM NIH HHS R01 LM010685
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPostoperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) remains a significant risk factor for increased morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery. The ability to accurately identify patients at risk through clinical risk factors is limited. There is growing evidence that polygenic risk contributes significantly to PoAF and incorporating measures of genetic risk could enhance prediction.

methodsA retrospective cohort study of 1047 patients of White European ancestry who underwent either coronary artery bypass grafting or valve surgery at a tertiary academic center and were free from a history or persistent preoperative atrial fibrillation. The primary outcome was defined as PoAF based on postoperative ECG reports, medical record documentation, and changes in medication. The exposure was a polygenic risk score (PRS) comprising 2746 single-nucleotide polymorphisms previously associated with atrial fibrillation risk. The prediction of PoAF risk was assessed using measures of model discrimination, calibration, and net reclassification improvement.

resultsA total of 259 patients (24.7%) developed PoAF. The PRS was significantly associated with a higher risk for PoAF (odds ratio, 1.63 per SD increase in PRS [95% CI, 1.41-1.90]). Addition of PRS to patient- and procedure-related predictors of PoAF significantly increased the C statistic from 0.742 to 0.782 (change in C statistic, 0.040 [95% CI, 0.021-0.060]) while maintaining good calibration. The addition of the PRS to patient- and procedure-related predictors of PoAF improved model fit (likelihood ratio test,

conclusionsThe PRS for PoAF was associated with improved discrimination, calibration, and risk reclassification compared with conventional clinical predictors suggesting that a PoAF PRS may enhance risk prediction of PoAF in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting or valve surgery.

Indexed as

AgedAtrial FibrillationCardiac Surgical ProceduresCase-Control StudiesCoronary Artery BypassElectrocardiographyFemaleHeart ValvesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPolymorphism, Single NucleotidePostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorsatrial fibrillationcalibrationgeneral surgerylikelihood functionsthoracic surgery

Identifiers

PMID33647223
PMCPMC8058298
OpenAlexW3135009837

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.