Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33637527›Full record

ArticleScience advances2021

People accurately predict the transition probabilities between actions.

Mark A Thornton, Diana I Tamir

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Transition dynamics shape mental state concepts.Journal of experimental psychology. General · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Six dimensions describe action understanding: The ACT-FASTaxonomy.Journal of personality and social psychology · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Mark A ThorntonDepartment of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755, USA. mark.a.thornton@dartmouth.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-5985-3030
Diana I TamirDepartment of Psychology and Princeton Neuroscience Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4290-4820

Funding

The structure and dynamics of mental state representationsR01MH114904 · NIMH · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI TAMIR, DIANA · 2017 to 2021
$1.8M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH114904
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Social life is a complex dance. To coordinate gracefully with one's partners, one must predict their actions. Here, we investigated how people predict others' actions. We hypothesized that people can accurately predict others' future actions based on knowledge of their current actions, coupled with knowledge of action transitions. To test whether people have accurate knowledge of the transition probabilities between actions, we compared actual rates of action transitions-calculated from four large naturalistic datasets-to participants' ratings of the transition probabilities between corresponding sets of actions. In five preregistered studies, participants demonstrated accurate mental models of action transitions. Furthermore, we found that people drew upon conceptual knowledge of actions-described by the six-dimensional ACT-FASTaxonomy-to guide their accurate predictions. Together, these results indicate that people can accurately anticipate other people's moves in the dance of social life and that the structure of action knowledge may be tailored to making these predictions.

Identifiers

PMID33637527
PMCPMC7909885

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.