ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021
Vaccinating the oldest against COVID-19 saves both the most lives and most years of life.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
51 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Predictive models for health outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including the effect of vaccination: a systematic review.Systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- An extension of the Benefit Risk Assessment of VaccinEs toolkit to evaluate Comirnaty and Spikevax vaccination in the European Union.European journal of public health · 2025Article
- Article
- Novel multi-cluster workflow system to support real-time HPC-enabled epidemic science: Investigating the impact of vaccine acceptance on COVID-19 spread.Journal of parallel and distributed computing · 2024Article
- Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950-2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.Lancet (London, England) · 2024Article
- Investigating Ethical Tradeoffs in Crisis Standards of Care through Simulation of Ventilator Allocation Protocols.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- An Epidemic Model with Infection Age and Vaccination Age Structure.Infectious disease reports · 2024Article
- Heuristics in vaccination Decision-Making for newly developed Vaccines: Understanding the public's imitative behavior.Preventive medicine reports · 2024Article
- Investigating ethical tradeoffs in crisis standards of care through simulation of ventilator allocation protocols.PloS one · 2024Article
- Is vaccine hesitancy related to mental health after the adjustment of the zero-COVID-19 strategy in the elderly? A mediation analysis in China.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2023Article
- Modelling lifespan reduction in an exogenous damage model of generic disease.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Strategies and Trends in COVID-19 Vaccination Delivery: What We Learn and What We May Use for the Future.Vaccines · 2023Article
- Age-differentiated incentives for adaptive behavior during epidemics produce oscillatory and chaotic dynamics.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- The Impact of Vaccination on COVID-19 Burden of Disease in the Adult and Elderly Population: A Systematic Review of Italian Evidence.Vaccines · 2023Review
- Study of optimal vaccination strategies for early COVID-19 pandemic using an age-structured mathematical model: A case study of the USA.Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE · 2023Article
- Which vaccination strategy against COVID-19?International health · 2023Article
- Article
- Article
- Roadmap to recovery: Implemented and attitude toward school reopening strategies during the COVID-19 pandemic, a scoping review.Journal of education and health promotion · 2023Article
- Efficacy and Safety of COVID-19 Vaccination in Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Vaccines · 2022Review
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3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Many competing criteria are under consideration for prioritizing COVID-19 vaccination. Two criteria based on age are demographic: lives saved and years of future life saved. Vaccinating the very old against COVID-19 saves the most lives, but, since older age is accompanied by falling life expectancy, it is widely supposed that these two goals are in conflict. We show this to be mistaken. The age patterns of COVID-19 mortality are such that vaccinating the oldest first saves the most lives and, surprisingly, also maximizes years of remaining life expectancy. We demonstrate this relationship empirically in the United States, Germany, and South Korea and with mathematical analysis of life tables. Our age-risk results, under usual conditions, also apply to health risks.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.