Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33630863›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

The cost-effectiveness of prostate cancer screening using the Stockholm3 test.

Andreas A Karlsson, Shuang Hao, Alexandra Jauhiainen, K Miriam Elfström, Lars Egevad, Tobias Nordström, Emelie Heintz, Mark S Clements

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Can polygenic risk scores contribute to cost-effective cancer screening? A systematic review.Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics · 2022
    Pooled it
  5. Systematic Review of Cost-Effectiveness Models in Prostate Cancer: Exploring New Developments in Testing and Diagnosis.Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2022
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Andreas A KarlssonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Shuang HaoDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Alexandra JauhiainenBioPharma Early Biometrics and Statistical Innovation, Data Science & AI, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden.
K Miriam ElfströmDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Lars EgevadDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Tobias NordströmDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Emelie HeintzDepartment of Learning, Informatics, Management and Ethics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Mark S ClementsDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4518-5670
Karolinska Institutet · SEKarolinska University Hospital · SEAstraZeneca (Sweden) · SEDanderyds sjukhus · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer found that prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening reduced prostate cancer mortality, however the costs and harms from screening may outweigh any mortality reduction. Compared with screening using the PSA test alone, using the Stockholm3 Model (S3M) as a reflex test for PSA ≥ 1 ng/mL has the same sensitivity for Gleason score ≥ 7 cancers while the relative positive fractions for Gleason score 6 cancers and no cancer were 0.83 and 0.56, respectively. The cost-effectiveness of the S3M test has not previously been assessed.

methodsWe undertook a cost-effectiveness analysis from a lifetime societal perspective. Using a microsimulation model, we simulated for: (i) no prostate cancer screening; (ii) screening using the PSA test; and (iii) screening using the S3M test as a reflex test for PSA values ≥ 1, 1.5 and 2 ng/mL. Screening strategies included quadrennial re-testing for ages 55-69 years performed by a general practitioner. Discounted costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated.

resultsComparing S3M with a reflex threshold of 2 ng/mL with screening using the PSA test, S3M had increased effectiveness, reduced lifetime biopsies by 30%, and increased societal costs by 0.4%. Relative to the PSA test, the S3M reflex thresholds of 1, 1.5 and 2 ng/mL had ICERs of 170,000, 60,000 and 6,000 EUR/QALY, respectively. The S3M test was more cost-effective at higher biopsy costs.

conclusionsProstate cancer screening using the S3M test for men with an initial PSA ≥ 2.0 ng/mL was cost-effective compared with screening using the PSA test alone.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorCost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerHumansKallikreinsMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalNeoplasm GradingProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRisk AssessmentSwedenBiomarkers, TumorKallikreinsKLK3 protein, humanProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID33630863
PMCPMC7906342
OpenAlexW3132345162

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.