ArticleEpidemiology and infection2021
Spatial dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil.
Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- What Makes Urban Communities More Resilient to COVID-19? A Systematic Review of Current Evidence.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Pooled it
- Methods Used in the Spatial and Spatiotemporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiology: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Pooled it
- Territorial Vulnerabilities and Healthcare Capacity During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Spatiotemporal Study of Hospitalizations and Mortality in a Large Metropolitan Area in Brazil.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Article
- North-South asymmetry of Parkinson's disease mortality in Brazil between 2009 and 2023: a spatial analysis.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Spatial disparities of COVID-19 pandemic in cerebrovascular diseases in Brazil.Communications medicine · 2025Article
- Geopharmacosurveillance of reporting rates of events supposedly attributable to vaccination or immunization against COVID-19.Revista latino-americana de enfermagem · 2025Article
- Distribution and determinants of COVID-19 seroprevalence in a hard-to-access health district in Mali.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- High-risk spatiotemporal patterns of leprosy in the southeastern region of Yunnan province from 2010 to 2022: an analysis at the township level.BMC public health · 2024Article
- A Bayesian spatio-temporal model of COVID-19 spread in England.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Insights into parents' perceived worry before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia: inequality and heterogeneity of influences.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Administrative professionals' quality of life in educational institutions: a systematic review protocol.BMJ open · 2023Article
- Associations Between Built Environment Factors and SARS-CoV-2 Infections at the Neighbourhood Level in a Metropolitan Area in Germany.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2023Article
- Resources availability and COVID-19 mortality among US counties.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Article
- Can the Content of Social Networks Explain Epidemic Outbreaks?Population research and policy review · 2023Article
- Spatiotemporal pattern of Covid-19 outbreak in Turkey.GeoJournal · 2023Article
- Community vulnerability to the COVID-19 pandemic: A narrative synthesis from an ecological perspective.Journal of global health · 2022Article
- Influence of Population Size, the Human Development Index and the Gross Domestic Product on Mortality by COVID-19 in the Southeast Region of Brazil.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- COVID-19 mortality and deprivation: pandemic, syndemic, and endemic health inequalities.The Lancet. Public health · 2022Review
- Structural factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection risk in an urban slum setting in Salvador, Brazil: A cross-sectional survey.PLoS medicine · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The objective of this study was to analyse the dynamics of spatial dispersion of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Brazil by correlating them to socioeconomic indicators. This is an ecological study of COVID-19 cases and deaths between 26 February and 31 July 2020. All Brazilian counties were used as units of analysis. The incidence, mortality, Bayesian incidence and mortality rates, global and local Moran indices were calculated. A geographic weighted regression analysis was conducted to assess the relationship between incidence and mortality due to COVID-19 and socioeconomic indicators (independent variables). There were confirmed 2 662 485 cases of COVID-19 reported in Brazil from February to July 2020 with higher rates of incidence in the north and northeast. The Moran global index of incidence rate (0.50, P = 0.01) and mortality (0.45 with P = 0.01) indicate a positive spatial autocorrelation with high standards in the north, northeast and in the largest urban centres between cities in the southeast region. In the same period, there were 92 475 deaths from COVID-19, with higher mortality rates in the northern states of Brazil, mainly Amazonas, Pará and Amapá. The results show that there is a geospatial correlation of COVID-19 in large urban centres and regions with the lowest human development index in the country. In the geographic weighted regression, it was possible to identify that the percentage of people living in residences with density higher than 2 per dormitory, the municipality human development index (MHDI) and the social vulnerability index were the indicators that most contributed to explaining incidence, social development index and the municipality human development index contributed the most to the mortality model. We hope that the findings will contribute to reorienting public health responses to combat COVID-19 in Brazil, the new epicentre of the disease in South America, as well as in other countries that have similar epidemiological and health characteristics to those in Brazil.
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