ArticleAnnals of medicine2021
Performance of prediction models for short-term outcome in COVID-19 patients in the emergency department: a retrospective study.
Article in Annals of medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Predicting COVID-19 prognosis in the ICU remained challenging: external validation in a multinational regional cohort.Journal of clinical epidemiology · 2022Pooled it
- External validation of the 4C Mortality Score for patients with COVID-19 and pre-existing cardiovascular diseases/risk factors.BMJ open · 2021Trial
- Article
- Validation of the acutely presenting older patient screener for short term mortality prediction in older patients hospitalized for COVID-19.European geriatric medicine · 2025Article
- Comparison of Standardized Mortality Ratios in seven Dutch EDs based on presenting complaints.BMC emergency medicine · 2025Observational
- Classification of the ICU Admission for COVID-19 Patients with Transfer Learning Models Using Chest X-Ray Images.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- An elastic net regression model for predicting the risk of ICU admission and death for hospitalized patients with COVID-19.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- External Validation of Prognostic Models in Critical Care: A Cautionary Tale From COVID-19 Pneumonitis.Critical care explorations · 2024Article
- Deep learning in public health: Comparative predictive models for COVID-19 case forecasting.PloS one · 2024Article
- Clinical and Laboratory Predictors of Mortality in Severe COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Retrospective Study from India.Thoracic research and practice · 2023Article
- Scoring Systems to Evaluate the Mortality Risk of Patients with Emphysematous Cystitis: A Retrospective Observational Study.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023Article
- Utility of the 4C ISARIC mortality score in hospitalized COVID-19 patients at a large tertiary Saudi Arabian center.Multidisciplinary respiratory medicine · 2023Article
- Head-to-head comparison of 19 prediction models for short-term outcome in medical patients in the emergency department: a retrospective study.Annals of medicine · 2023Article
- Predictive Factors of Oxygen Therapy Failure in Patients with COVID-19 in the Emergency Department.Open access emergency medicine : OAEM · 2023Article
- Derivation and validation of a clinical decision rule to risk-stratify COVID-19 patients discharged from the emergency department: The CCEDRRN COVID discharge score.Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open · 2022Article
- External Validation of Mortality Scores among High-Risk COVID-19 Patients: A Romanian Retrospective Study in the First Pandemic Year.Journal of clinical medicine · 2022Article
- External validation of risk scores to predict in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized due to coronavirus disease 2019.European journal of internal medicine · 2022Article
- Observational
- External Validation of the Modified 4C Deterioration Model and 4C Mortality Score for COVID-19 Patients in a Swiss Tertiary Hospital.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Evaluation and Comparison of the Predictive Value of 4C Mortality Score, NEWS, and CURB-65 in Poor Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study from a Single Center in Romania.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
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Abstract
introductionCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has a high burden on the healthcare system. Prediction models may assist in triaging patients. We aimed to assess the value of several prediction models in COVID-19 patients in the emergency department (ED).
methodsIn this retrospective study, ED patients with COVID-19 were included. Prediction models were selected based on their feasibility. Primary outcome was 30-day mortality, secondary outcomes were 14-day mortality and a composite outcome of 30-day mortality and admission to medium care unit (MCU) or intensive care unit (ICU). The discriminatory performance of the prediction models was assessed using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
resultsWe included 403 patients. Thirty-day mortality was 23.6%, 14-day mortality was 19.1%, 66 patients (16.4%) were admitted to ICU, 48 patients (11.9%) to MCU, and 152 patients (37.7%) met the composite endpoint. Eleven prediction models were included. The RISE UP score and 4 C mortality scores showed very good discriminatory performance for 30-day mortality (AUC 0.83 and 0.84, 95% CI 0.79-0.88 for both), significantly higher than that of the other models.
conclusionThe RISE UP score and 4 C mortality score can be used to recognise patients at high risk for poor outcome and may assist in guiding decision-making and allocating resources.
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