Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33627191›Full record

ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2021

Changes in newly notified cases and control of tuberculosis in China: time-series analysis of surveillance data.

Ye-Sheng Wang, Wen-Long Zhu, Tao Li, Wei Chen, Wei-Bing Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ye-Sheng WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, No. 130 Dong'an Road, Xuhui District, Shanghai, China.
Wen-Long ZhuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, No. 130 Dong'an Road, Xuhui District, Shanghai, China.
Tao LiNational Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Wei ChenNational Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Wei-Bing WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, No. 130 Dong'an Road, Xuhui District, Shanghai, China. wwb@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4497-5251

Funding

National Major Science and Technology Projects of China 2017ZX10201302-007003National Major Science and Technology Projects of China 2017ZX10202302-005National Natural Science Foundation of China 81673233
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChina has made progress in tuberculosis control, but this disease remains a burden in many regions of China. We performed time-series analysis to examine changes in the rates of newly notified and newly smear-positive cases of tuberculosis in different regions of China from 1997 to 2018 and assessed the effect of the current control program.

methodsNational and provincial notification data on tuberculosis from 1997 to 2018, which covers 31 provinces in the mainland of China, were extracted from the Chinese public health science data center. The annual percentage changes in newly notified and smear-positive cases were analyzed using a joinpoint regression method.

resultsThere were 18 646 672 newly notified tuberculosis cases from 1997 to 2018, with the greatest number in 2005. A total of 6 605 414 of these cases (35.42%) were smear-positive cases. The number of newly notified cases in China overall decreased (96.88-59.27 cases per 100 000) significantly during the most recent years. The decline during this period ranged from -3.9% (95% CI -5.7 to -2.9) in the western region to -4.3% (95% CI -4.8 to -3.7) in the eastern region. Most provinces had significant declines in newly notified and smear-positive cases, whereas the decline of newly smear-positive cases in Xinjiang was about half of that observed during the same period in China overall (-4.1% vs -9.9%). In addition to disparities in annual percentage changes, the rate of newly notified cases was higher in the western region than in the eastern and central regions.

conclusionsThe burden of tuberculosis has been on declining throughout China during recent years, but tuberculosis in western China continues to be a public health emergency that needs to be urgently addressed. Effective prevention and control strategies are needed for regions with high disease burdens and those with increasing or unchanging numbers of newly notified and smear-positive cases of tuberculosis.

Indexed as

ChinaEpidemiologic StudiesFemaleHumansInfection ControlMalePrevalenceResearch DesignTuberculosisChinaControlRegionsTrendTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID33627191
PMCPMC7903934

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.