Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33623826›Full record

ArticleWellcome open research2020

The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study.

Trystan Leng, Connor White, Joe Hilton, Adam Kucharski, Lorenzo Pellis, Helena Stage, Nicholas G Davies, Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCoV Working Group, Matt J Keeling, Stefan Flasche

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Wellcome open research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Mechanics of pandemics.EClinicalMedicine · 2026
    Review
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  14. Positive outcomes associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia.Health promotion journal of Australia : official journal of Australian Association of Health Promotion Professionals · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Trystan LengThe Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology & Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8312-9405
Connor WhiteThe Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology & Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3801-8268
Joe HiltonThe Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology & Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2787-3827
Adam KucharskiCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Lorenzo PellisDepartment of Mathematics, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Helena StageDepartment of Mathematics, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Nicholas G DaviesCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCoV Working Group
Matt J KeelingThe Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology & Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4639-4765
Stefan FlascheCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5808-2606

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_19065Medical Research Council MR/S003975/1Medical Research Council MR/V038613/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Indexed as

Contact clusteringCovid-19Exit strategySocial bubble

Identifiers

PMID33623826
PMCPMC7871360.2

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.