Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33622436›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2021

Dynamics and risk of transmission of bovine tuberculosis in the emerging dairy regions of Ethiopia.

G A Mekonnen, A J K Conlan, S Berg, B T Ayele, A Mihret, A Olani, H Asgedom, ETHICOBOTS consortium, J L N Wood, G Ameni

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Bovine tuberculosis reactor cattle in Southwest Ethiopia: Risk factors for bovine tuberculosis.Journal of clinical tuberculosis and other mycobacterial diseases · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

G A MekonnenNational Animal Health Diagnostic and Investigation Centre, P.O. Box 04, Sebeta, Ethiopia.ORCID 0000-0002-7605-5433
A J K ConlanDisease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, CambridgeCB3 0ES, UK.
S BergBacteriology Department, Animal and Plant Health Agency, Weybridge, SurreyKT15 3NB, UK.
B T AyeleDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
A MihretArmauer Hansen Research Institute, P.O. Box 1005, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
A OlaniNational Animal Health Diagnostic and Investigation Centre, P.O. Box 04, Sebeta, Ethiopia.
H AsgedomNational Animal Health Diagnostic and Investigation Centre, P.O. Box 04, Sebeta, Ethiopia.
ETHICOBOTS consortium
J L N WoodDisease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Madingley Road, CambridgeCB3 0ES, UK.
G AmeniAklilu Lemma Institute of Pathobiology, Addis Ababa University, P. O. Box 1176, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Funding

Ethiopia-Emory TB Research Training ProgramD43TW009127 · FIC · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI HENRY M BLUMBERG, Kidist Bobosha · 2013 to 2026
$3.4M
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/L018977/1FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009127Medical Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Ethiopian government has several initiatives to expand and intensify the dairy industry; however, the risk of bovine tuberculosis (bTB) spread is a challenge. To assess the rate of expansion and risk factors for transmission of bTB within-herds, we carried out a repeated cross-sectional survey at two time points, 2016/17 and 2018, in three regional cities, namely, Gondar, Hawassa and Mekelle, representing the emerging dairy belts of Ethiopia. The total number of herds involved was 128, comprising an average of 2303 cattle in each round. The Single Intradermal Comparative Cervical Tuberculin (SICCT) test was used to identify reactor status and data on herd-level risk factors were collected using a structured questionnaire. In the first survey, the apparent prevalence of bTB, as measured by the SICCT test, was 4.5% (95% CI 3.7-5.4%) at the individual animal-level and 24% (95% CI 17.5-32%) at the herd-level. There was no statistically significant change in the overall apparent prevalence or regional distribution at the second survey, consistent with the infection being endemic. The incidence rate was estimated at 3.6 (95% CI 2.8-4.5) and 6.6 (95% CI 3.0-12.6) cases/100 cattle (or herd)-years at the animal- and herd-levels, respectively. Risk factors significantly associated with the within-herd transmission of bTB were age group and within-herd apparent prevalence at the start of the observation period. We noted that farmers voluntarily took steps to remove reactor cattle from their herds as a consequence of the information shared after the first survey. Removal of reactors between surveys was associated with a reduced risk of transmission within these herds. However, with no regulatory barriers to the sale of reactor animals, such actions could potentially lead to further spread between herds. We therefore advocate the importance of setting up regulations and then establishing a systematic bTB surveillance programme to monitor the impact prior to implementing any control measures in Ethiopia.

Indexed as

DairyingAnimalsCattleCross-Sectional StudiesEthiopiaFarmersHumansIncidenceRisk FactorsSkin TestsTuberculosis, BovineApparent prevalencebovine tuberculosisemerging dairy beltsEthiopiaincidence ratepositive reactors removalrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID33622436
PMCPMC8060830

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.