Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33619466›Full record

ArticleJAMIA open2020

An interactive tool to forecast US hospital needs in the coronavirus 2019 pandemic.

Kenneth J Locey, Thomas A Webb, Jawad Khan, Anuja K Antony, Bala Hota

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMIA open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  7. COVID-19 outbreak and the role of digital twin.Multimedia tools and applications · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Kenneth J LoceyCenter for Quality, Safety and Value Analytics, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9266-0377
Thomas A WebbCenter for Quality, Safety and Value Analytics, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Jawad KhanKnowledge Management Services, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Anuja K AntonyDivision of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Surgery, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Bala HotaCenter for Quality, Safety and Value Analytics, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe developed an application (https://rush-covid19.herokuapp.com/) to aid US hospitals in planning their response to the ongoing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. MATERIALS AND

methodsOur application forecasts hospital visits, admits, discharges, and needs for hospital beds, ventilators, and personal protective equipment by coupling COVID-19 predictions to models of time lags, patient carry-over, and length-of-stay. Users can choose from 7 COVID-19 models, customize 23 parameters, examine trends in testing and hospitalization, and download forecast data.

resultsOur application accurately predicts the spread of COVID-19 across states and territories. Its hospital-level forecasts are in continuous use by our home institution and others. DISCUSSION: Our application is versatile, easy-to-use, and can help hospitals plan their response to the changing dynamics of COVID-19, while providing a platform for deeper study.

conclusionEmpowering healthcare responses to COVID-19 is as crucial as understanding the epidemiology of the disease. Our application will continue to evolve to meet this need.

Indexed as

COVID-19epidemiologyforecastinghealthcaremodelingSEIR

Identifiers

PMID33619466
PMCPMC7543612

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.