Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33619080›Full record

ArticleScience translational medicine2021

Using viral load and epidemic dynamics to optimize pooled testing in resource-constrained settings.

Brian Cleary, James A Hay, Brendan Blumenstiel, Maegan Harden, Michelle Cipicchio, Jon Bezney, Brooke Simonton, David Hong, Madikay Senghore, Abdul K Sesay and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science translational medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 57 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. Modeling for COVID-19 college reopening decisions: Cornell, a case study.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Safe and effective pool testing for SARS-CoV-2 detection.Journal of clinical virology : the official publication of the Pan American Society for Clinical Virology · 2021
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Brian ClearyBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA. bcleary@broadinstitute.org jhay@hsph.harvard.edu aregev@broadinstitute.org mmina@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-0825-7129
James A HayCentre for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA. bcleary@broadinstitute.org jhay@hsph.harvard.edu aregev@broadinstitute.org mmina@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-1998-1844
Brendan BlumenstielBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.
Maegan HardenBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.
Michelle CipicchioBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3035-5630
Jon BezneyBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2233-4792
Brooke SimontonBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1366-1268
David HongWharton Statistics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4698-4175
Madikay SenghoreCentre for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4303-6236
Abdul K SesayMedical Research Council Unit The Gambia at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, P.O. Box 273, Banjul, The Gambia.ORCID 0000-0002-4746-0974
Stacey GabrielBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.
Aviv RegevKlarman Cell Observatory, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA. bcleary@broadinstitute.org jhay@hsph.harvard.edu aregev@broadinstitute.org mmina@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-3293-3158
Michael J MinaBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA. bcleary@broadinstitute.org jhay@hsph.harvard.edu aregev@broadinstitute.org mmina@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-0674-5762
Broad Institute · USCenter for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy · USMRC Unit the Gambia · GMUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LIPSITCH, MARC · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
Deep sequencing of pathogens to precisely define transmission networks using rare variantsR01AI128344 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HANAGE, WILLIAM · 2017 to 2021
$3.4M
Deconvolution and reconstruction of immune histories to enhance infectious disease prevention and vaccination strategies and optimize surveillance effortsDP5OD028145 · OD · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HOFMAN, ALBERT · 2019 to 2021
$1.2M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI128344NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088558NIH HHS DP5 OD028145
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Virological testing is central to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) containment, but many settings face severe limitations on testing. Group testing offers a way to increase throughput by testing pools of combined samples; however, most proposed designs have not yet addressed key concerns over sensitivity loss and implementation feasibility. Here, we combined a mathematical model of epidemic spread and empirically derived viral kinetics for SARS-CoV-2 infections to identify pooling designs that are robust to changes in prevalence and to ratify sensitivity losses against the time course of individual infections. We show that prevalence can be accurately estimated across a broad range, from 0.02 to 20%, using only a few dozen pooled tests and using up to 400 times fewer tests than would be needed for individual identification. We then exhaustively evaluated the ability of different pooling designs to maximize the number of detected infections under various resource constraints, finding that simple pooling designs can identify up to 20 times as many true positives as individual testing with a given budget. Crucially, we confirmed that our theoretical results can be translated into practice using pooled human nasopharyngeal specimens by accurately estimating a 1% prevalence among 2304 samples using only 48 tests and through pooled sample identification in a panel of 960 samples. Our results show that accounting for variation in sampled viral loads provides a nuanced picture of how pooling affects sensitivity to detect infections. Using simple, practical group testing designs can vastly increase surveillance capabilities in resource-limited settings.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsHumansSARS-CoV-2Serologic TestsSpecimen HandlingViral Load

Identifiers

PMID33619080
PMCPMC8099195
OpenAlexW3130371474

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.