Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33616836›Full record

ArticleEndocrine2021

Development of a risk prediction model for early discrimination between permanent and transient congenital hypothyroidism.

Ladan Mehran, Fereidoun Azizi, Pouria Mousapour, Leila Cheraghi, Shahin Yarahmadi, Golshan Amirshekari, Davood Khalili

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Endocrine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Knowns and unknowns about congenital hypothyroidism: 2022 update.Clinical pediatric endocrinology : case reports and clinical investigations : official journal of the Japanese Society for Pediatric Endocrinology · 2023
    Review
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ladan MehranEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Fereidoun AziziEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Pouria MousapourEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Leila CheraghiEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Shahin YarahmadiEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Golshan AmirshekariEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Davood KhaliliPrevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. dkhalili@endocrine.ac.ir.ORCID 0000-0001-6594-9004
Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences · IR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop a risk prediction model for early discrimination between transient and permanent congenital hypothyroidism (CH). DESIGN AND

settingIn a retrospective cohort, 1047 confirmed CH neonates, from 15 randomly selected provinces in Iran, were entered to the study. Clinical and biochemical information of transient and permanent cases, distinct at the age of 3 years were retrospectively gathered.

resultsAmong CH neonates, the overall prevalence of permanent CH was 57.1%. Using forward stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis, confirmatory venous TSH, total T4 < 8.2 ng/dl, requiring levothyroxine dosage increase, venous TSH ≥ 10 mU/l between 6 and 12 months of age, parental consanguinity and family history of thyroid diseases were associated with increased risk of permanent CH. The prediction model achieved a very good power in discriminating patients with transient and permanent CH with an optimism-corrected area under the ROC curve of 0.86 (95% CI:0.84-0.88) with a very good calibration. Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) test indicated significantly greater diagnostic performance of the model compared to serum TSH alone.

conclusionsUsing several potential predictors for permanent CH, we developed a relatively powerful risk prediction model as a cost-saving screening tool in order to avoid unnecessary long-term treatment of transient cases which might empower clinicians for prognostication of the CH course and tailoring treatment up to 1 year of age.

Indexed as

Congenital HypothyroidismChild, PreschoolHumansInfant, NewbornIranNeonatal ScreeningRetrospective StudiesThyroid Function TestsThyrotropinThyroxineThyrotropinThyroxineClinical prediction modelCongenital hypothyroidismDiagnosisEndocrinology-pediatricScreeningThyroid function tests

Identifiers

PMID33616836
OpenAlexW3109743903

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.