ArticleFrontiers in public health
COVID-19 Deaths Cases Impact on Oil Prices: Probable Scenarios on Saudi Arabia Economy.
Article in Frontiers in public health. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Natural resources for policy makers: Revisiting COVID-19 perspective of aggregate South Asian economies.Resources policy · 2023Article
- COVID-19 impact on multifractality of energy prices: Asymmetric multifractality analysis.Energy (Oxford, England) · 2022Article
- Public attention, oil and gold markets during the COVID-19: Evidence from time-frequency analysis.Resources policy · 2022Article
- Natural resources rents and economic performance: Post-COVID-19 era for G7 countries.Resources policy · 2022Article
- Examining the behaviour of energy prices to COVID-19 uncertainty: A quantile on quantile approach.Energy (Oxford, England) · 2022Article
- Global economic performance and natural resources commodity prices volatility: Evidence from pre and post COVID-19 era.Resources policy · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
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Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to discuss death cases on the World, exacerbated investor fears, uncertainties, and increased volatility of crude oil prices in financial markets. The reaction absorbed the epidemic gradually until January 22. Still, the market situation changed soon with a sharp drop in prices, and prices slowly recovered after that until June 14. The data of this research using an econometric model, the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag), according to the Gets methodology, using daily data, January 22 -June 14, 2020. Our ARDL shows, the death ratio has a significant negative effect on oil price dynamics. However, the death ratio has an indirect impact on volatility in Crude Oil prices. The findings show that the death toll of COVID-19 has a significant impact on oil prices in Saudi Arabia (KSA). However, the preliminary results mainly influence by the situation reported in the USA. When we assess the case outside the USA, and we see the positive effect of the COVID-19 death figures on oil prices, therefore, stress the amplification of death-related risks to the financial market and the real economy, caused by increased, policy-induced economic uncertainty in the United States.
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