Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33612120›Full record

ArticlePatient safety in surgery2021

The risk of postoperative deterioration of non-cardiac surgery patients with ICU referral status who are admitted to the regular ward: a retrospective observational cohort study.

David Moore, Matthew L Durie, Sohail Bampoe, Luke Buizen, Jai N Darvall

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Patient safety in surgery, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

David MooreDepartment of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Grattan Street, Melbourne, VIC, 3050, Australia. david.moore2@mh.org.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4267-0091
Matthew L DurieDepartment of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Grattan Street, Melbourne, VIC, 3050, Australia.
Sohail BampoeCentre for Perioperative Medicine, UCL Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK.
Luke BuizenMelbourne EpiCentre, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Jai N DarvallDepartment of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Grattan Street, Melbourne, VIC, 3050, Australia.
The Royal Melbourne Hospital · AUThe University of Melbourne · AUUniversity College London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHigher-risk surgical patients may not be admitted to the intensive care unit due to stable immediate post-operative status on review. The outcomes of this cohort are not well described. Our aim was to examine the subsequent inpatient course of intensive care unit -referred but not admitted surgical patients.

methodsAll patients aged ≥18 years who were referred but not admitted for post-operative management in a tertiary metropolitan intensive care unit following non-cardiac surgery between 1/7/2017 and 30/6/2018 were eligible for inclusion in this retrospective observational cohort study. Primary outcome was Medical Emergency Team activation. Secondary outcomes included unplanned intensive care unit admission; length of stay; and 30-day mortality. Risk of serious complications and predicted length of stay were calculated using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program scoring tool.

resultsFifteen of 60 patients (25%) had a MET-call following surgery, eight (13%) patients required unplanned intensive care unit admission, with median (IQR) time to Medical Emergency Team call 9 (6-13) hours. No patients died within 30-days. There was no significant difference between mean National Surgical Quality Improvement Program predicted and actual length of stay; after adjustment, National Surgical Quality Improvement Program predicted risk of serious complications was associated with unplanned intensive care unit admission (OR [95% CI] = 1.08 [1.00-1.16], p = 0.04), although not Medical Emergency Team calls.

conclusionsPost-operative deterioration occurs frequently, and early, in a cohort of high-risk surgical patients initially assessed as being safe for ward care. Changes to current triage models for post-operative intensive care unit admission may reduce the impact of complications in this high-risk group.

Indexed as

Anaesthesia safetyIntensive careLength of stay

Identifiers

PMID33612120
PMCPMC7897383
OpenAlexW3129890412

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.