Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33610623›Full record

ArticleRadiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology2021

Survival after palliative radiation therapy for cancer: The METSSS model.

Nicholas G Zaorsky, Menglu Liang, Rutu Patel, Christine Lin, Leila T Tchelebi, Kristina B Newport, Edward J Fox, Ming Wang

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Nicholas G ZaorskyDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Penn State Cancer Institute, Hershey, USA; Department of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, USA. Electronic address: nicholaszaorsky@gmail.com.
Menglu LiangDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, USA.
Rutu PatelDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Penn State Cancer Institute, Hershey, USA.
Christine LinDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Penn State Cancer Institute, Hershey, USA.
Leila T TchelebiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Penn State Cancer Institute, Hershey, USA.
Kristina B NewportDepartment of Medicine, Section of Palliative Care, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, USA.
Edward J FoxDepartment of Orthopaedics and Rehabilitation, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, USA.
Ming WangDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, USA.
Pennsylvania State University · USPenn State Milton S. Hershey Medical Center · US

Funding

NCI NIH HHS L30 CA231572
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe propose a predictive model that identifies patients at greatest risk of death after palliative radiotherapy, and subsequently, can help medical professionals choose treatments that better align with patient choice and prognosis.

methodsThe National Cancer Database was queried for recipients of palliative radiotherapy during first course of treatment. Cox regression models and adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were used to evaluate survival predictors. The mortality risk index was calculated using predictors from the estimated Cox regression model, with higher values indicating higher mortality risk. Based on tertile cutpoints, patients were divided into low, medium, and high risk groups.

resultsA total of 68,505 patients were included from 2010-2014, median age 65.7 years. Several risk factors were found to predict survival: (1) location of metastases (liver, bone, lung, and brain); (2) age; (3) tumor primary (prostate, breast, lung, other); (4) gender; (5) Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score; and (6) radiotherapy site. The median survival times were 11.66 months, 5.09 months, and 3.28 months in the low (n=22,621), medium (n=22,638), and high risk groups (n=22,611), respectively. A nomogram was created and validated to predict survival, available online, https://tinyurl.com/METSSSmodel. Harrel's C-index was 0.71 and receiver operator characteristic area under the curve was 0.76 at 4 years.

conclusionWe created a predictive nomogram for survival of patients receiving palliative radiotherapy during their first course of treatment (named METSSS), based on Metastases location, Elderly (age), Tumor primary, Sex, Sickness/comorbidity, and Site of radiotherapy.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsPalliative CareAgedHumansMaleNomogramsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesCancerMetastasisPredictionRadiation oncologySurvival

Identifiers

PMID33610623
PMCPMC9074852
OpenAlexW3132564795

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.