ArticleNature communications2021
Harnessing peak transmission around symptom onset for non-pharmaceutical intervention and containment of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Face Mask Use in the Community for Reducing the Spread of COVID-19: A Systematic Review.Frontiers in medicine · 2020Pooled it
- From node to network: weaving a global perspective on efficacy and costs of non-pharmaceutical interventions.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Epidemic modelling suggests that in specific circumstances masks may become more effective when fewer contacts wear them.Communications medicine · 2024Article
- Estimated public health impact of concurrent mask mandate and vaccinate-or-test requirement in Illinois, October to December 2021.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Effects of Face Mask Mandates on COVID-19 Transmission in 51 Countries: Retrospective Event Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Estimating the Epidemic Size of Superspreading Coronavirus Outbreaks in Real Time: Quantitative Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Protection, freedom, stigma: a critical discourse analysis of face masks in the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and implications for medical education.Canadian medical education journal · 2023Article
- The Epidemiological and Economic Impact of COVID-19 in Kazakhstan: An Agent-Based Modeling.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Reactive-diffusion epidemic model on human mobility networks: Analysis and applications to COVID-19 in China.Physica A · 2023Article
- Article
- The Difference in Electromyographic Activity While Wearing a Medical Mask in Women with and without Temporomandibular Disorders.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Modeling COVID-19 transmission between age groups in the United States considering virus mutations, vaccinations, and reinfection.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Measuring Basic Reproduction Number to Assess Effects of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 Transmission.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Work ethics, stay-at-home measures and COVID-19 diffusion : How is the pandemic affected by the way people perceive work?The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2022Article
- Effect of testing and social distancing measures on COVID-19 deaths in India: Role of pre-existing socio-economic factors.Journal of public affairs · 2022Article
- Mutation induced infection waves in diseases like COVID-19.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- The Effects of Wearing a Medical Mask on the Masticatory and Neck Muscle Activity in Healthy Young Women.Journal of clinical medicine · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Propagation Model Based on Economic Development and Interventions.Wireless personal communications · 2022Article
- A year of living distantly: global trends in the use of stay-at-home orders over the first 12 months of the COVID-19 pandemic.Interface focus · 2021Article
- Estimating the Impact of Statewide Policies to Reduce Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 in Real Time, Colorado, USA.Emerging infectious diseases · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Within a short period of time, COVID-19 grew into a world-wide pandemic. Transmission by pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic viral carriers rendered intervention and containment of the disease extremely challenging. Based on reported infection case studies, we construct an epidemiological model that focuses on transmission around the symptom onset. The model is calibrated against incubation period and pairwise transmission statistics during the initial outbreaks of the pandemic outside Wuhan with minimal non-pharmaceutical interventions. Mathematical treatment of the model yields explicit expressions for the size of latent and pre-symptomatic subpopulations during the exponential growth phase, with the local epidemic growth rate as input. We then explore reduction of the basic reproduction number R
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.