Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33608511›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

A game theoretic approach reveals that discretizing clinical information can reduce antibiotic misuse.

Maya Diamant, Shoham Baruch, Eias Kassem, Khitam Muhsen, Dov Samet, Moshe Leshno, Uri Obolski

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Maya DiamantColler School of Management, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Shoham BaruchFaculty of Medicine, School of Public Health, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Eias KassemDepartment of Pediatrics, Hillel Yaffe Medical Center, Hadera, Israel.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5193-719X
Khitam MuhsenFaculty of Medicine, School of Public Health, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Dov SametColler School of Management, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Moshe LeshnoColler School of Management, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Uri ObolskiFaculty of Medicine, School of Public Health, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. uriobols@tauex.tau.ac.il.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7594-9745

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The overuse of antibiotics is exacerbating the antibiotic resistance crisis. Since this problem is a classic common-goods dilemma, it naturally lends itself to a game-theoretic analysis. Hence, we designed a model wherein physicians weigh whether antibiotics should be prescribed, given that antibiotic usage depletes its future effectiveness. The physicians' decisions rely on the probability of a bacterial infection before definitive laboratory results are available. We show that the physicians' equilibrium decision rule of antibiotic prescription is not socially optimal. However, we prove that discretizing the information provided to physicians can mitigate the gap between their equilibrium decisions and the social optimum of antibiotic prescription. Despite this problem's complexity, the effectiveness of the discretization solely depends on the type of information available to the physician to determine the nature of infection. This is demonstrated on theoretic distributions and a clinical dataset. Our results provide a game-theory based guide for optimal output of current and future decision support systems of antibiotic prescription.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsDrug Resistance, MicrobialGame TheoryBacterial InfectionsComputational BiologyDrug Resistance, BacterialDrug Resistance, ViralHumansPreventive MedicineVirus DiseasesAnti-Bacterial Agents

Identifiers

PMID33608511
PMCPMC7895914

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.