Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33604401›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2021

Pretest Symptom Duration and Cycle Threshold Values for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Reverse-Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction Predict Coronavirus Disease 2019 Mortality.

Emily Happy Miller, Jason Zucker, Delivette Castor, Medini K Annavajhala, Jorge L Sepulveda, Daniel A Green, Susan Whittier, Matthew Scherer, Nicola Medrano, Magdalena E Sobieszczyk and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. The New Normal: Delayed Peak SARS-CoV-2 Viral Loads Relative to Symptom Onset and Implications for COVID-19 Testing Programs.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. A reverse-transcription droplet digital PCR assay to detect and quantify SARS-CoV-2 RNA in upper respiratory tract specimens.Journal of clinical virology : the official publication of the Pan American Society for Clinical Virology · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Partial ORF1ab Gene Target Failure with Omicron BA.2.12.1.Journal of clinical microbiology · 2022
    Article
  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Emily Happy MillerDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0640-5653
Jason ZuckerDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6987-6412
Delivette CastorDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Medini K AnnavajhalaDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Jorge L SepulvedaDepartment of Pathology and Cell Biology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Daniel A GreenDepartment of Pathology and Cell Biology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Susan WhittierDepartment of Pathology and Cell Biology, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Matthew SchererDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Nicola MedranoDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Magdalena E SobieszczykDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Michael T YinDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
Louise KuhnGertrude H. Sergievsky Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, and Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA.
Anne-Catrin UhlemannDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA.
NewYork–Presbyterian Hospital · USColumbia University · US

Funding

Columbia Partnership for Prevention and Control of HIV/AIDS Clinical Trials UnitUM1AI069470 · NIAID · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MAGDALENA ELZBIETA SOBIESZCZYK · 2012 to 2026
$44.8M
Columbia Integrated Training Program in Infectious Diseases ResearchT32AI100852 · NIAID · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MAGDALENA ELZBIETA SOBIESZCZYK, Anne-Catrin Uhlemann · 2013 to 2026
$2.2M
NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI100852NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069470
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe relationship between severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) viral load and patient symptom duration in both in- and outpatients, and the impact of these factors on patient outcomes, are currently unknown. Understanding these associations is important to clinicians caring for patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

methodsWe conducted an observational study between March 10 and May 30, 2020 at a large quaternary academic medical center in New York City. Patient characteristics, laboratory values, and clinical outcomes were abstracted from the electronic medical records. Of all patients tested for SARS-CoV-2 during this time (N = 16 384), there were 5467 patients with positive tests, 4254 of which had available cycle threshold (Ct) values and were included in further analysis. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to test associations between Ct values, duration of symptoms before testing, patient characteristics, and mortality. The primary outcome is defined as death or discharge to hospice.

resultsLower Ct values at diagnosis (ie, higher viral load) were associated with significantly higher mortality among both in- and outpatients. It is interesting to note that patients with a shorter time since the onset of symptoms to testing had a worse prognosis, with those presenting less than 3 days from symptom onset having 2-fold increased odds of death. After adjusting for time since symptom onset and other clinical covariates, Ct values remained a strong predictor of mortality.

conclusionsSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction Ct value and duration of symptoms are strongly associated with mortality. These 2 factors add useful information for clinicians to risk stratify patients presenting with COVID-19.

Indexed as

cycle threshold valuesoutcomesSARS-CoV-2symptom duration

Identifiers

PMID33604401
PMCPMC7798567
OpenAlexW3119137945

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.