Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33602715›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2021

Incidence, duration and risk factors associated with delayed and missed diagnostic opportunities related to tuberculosis: a population-based longitudinal study.

Aaron C Miller, Alan T Arakkal, Scott Koeneman, Joeseph E Cavanaugh, Alicia K Gerke, Douglas B Hornick, Philip M Polgreen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Diagnostic windows in non-neoplastic diseases: a systematic review.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. The Diagnostic Course of Sarcoidosis: A Population-Based Study Highlighting Risk Factors for a Delay in Diagnosis.Sarcoidosis, vasculitis, and diffuse lung diseases : official journal of WASOG · 2026
    Article
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  18. A narrative review of tuberculosis in the United States among persons aged 65 years and older.Journal of clinical tuberculosis and other mycobacterial diseases · 2022
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Aaron C MillerEpidemiology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA aaron-miller@uiowa.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-6828-8966
Alan T ArakkalEpidemiology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.
Scott KoenemanBiostatistics, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.
Joeseph E CavanaughBiostatistics, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.
Alicia K GerkeInternal Medicine, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.
Douglas B HornickInternal Medicine, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.
Philip M PolgreenEpidemiology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.
University of Iowa · US

Funding

Pulmonary Toxicology Facility CoreP30ES005605 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI Jong Sung Kim · 1990 to 2026
$40.5M
The University of Iowa Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR002537 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI HANSEN, MARLAN R, WINOKUR, PATRICIA · 2018 to 2022
$20.0M
An expert-guided machine-learning approach to estimate the incidence, risk and harms associated with diagnostic delays for infectious diseases.R01HS027375 · AHRQ · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI KUNTZ, JENNIFER L., MILLER, AARON C · 2019 to 2021
$1.5M
AHRQ HHS R01 HS027375NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002537NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES005605
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesMissed opportunities to diagnose tuberculosis are costly to patients and society. In this study, we (1) estimate the frequency and duration of diagnostic delays among patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis and (2) determine the risk factors for experiencing a diagnostic delay.

designA retrospective cohort study of patients with tuberculosis using longitudinal healthcare encounters prior to diagnosis.

settingCommercially insured enrollees from the Commercial Claims and Encounters or Medicare Supplemental IBM Marketscan Research Databases, 2001-2017.

participantsAll patients diagnosed with, and receiving treatment for, pulmonary tuberculosis, enrolled at least 365 days prior to diagnosis. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: We estimated the number of visits with tuberculosis-related symptoms prior to diagnosis that would be expected to occur in the absence of delays and compared this estimate to the observed pattern. We computed the number of visits representing a delay and used a simulation-based approach to estimate the number of patients experiencing a delay, number of missed opportunities per patient and duration of delays (ie, time between diagnosis and earliest missed opportunity). We also explored risk factors for missed opportunities.

resultsWe identified 3371 patients diagnosed and treated for active tuberculosis that could be followed up for 1 year prior to diagnosis. We estimated 77.2% (95% CI 75.6% to 78.7%) of patients experienced at least one missed opportunity; of these patients, an average of 3.89 (95% CI 3.65 to 4.14) visits represented a missed opportunity, and the mean duration of delay was 31.66 days (95% CI 28.51 to 35.11). Risk factors for delays included outpatient or emergency department settings, weekend visits, patient age, influenza season presentation, history of chronic respiratory symptoms and prior fluoroquinolone use.

conclusionsMany patients with tuberculosis experience multiple missed diagnostic opportunities prior to diagnosis. Missed opportunities occur most commonly in outpatient settings and numerous patient-specific, environment-specific and setting-specific factors increase risk for delays.

Indexed as

Delayed DiagnosisTuberculosisAgedHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMedicareRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited Statesepidemiologygeneral medicine (see internal medicine)respiratory infectionstuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID33602715
PMCPMC7896623
OpenAlexW3133306863

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.