Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33597840›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie2021

Educational Differences in Cohort Fertility Across Sub-national Regions in Europe.

Jessica Nisén, Sebastian Klüsener, Johan Dahlberg, Lars Dommermuth, Aiva Jasilioniene, Michaela Kreyenfeld, Trude Lappegård, Peng Li, Pekka Martikainen, Karel Neels and 7 more

Abstract readCase Reports
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Only Children and Low Family Size Ideals: Did the One-Child Policy Create a "Low-Fertility Trap" in China?European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
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  8. Family Life Courses, Uncertain Futures, and the Changing World of Work: State-of-the-Art and Prospects.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Industrial Robots and Regional Fertility in European Countries.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2023
    Article
  13. Second Birth Fertility in Germany: Social Class, Gender, and the Role of Economic Uncertainty.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. The Positive Effect of Women's Education on Fertility in Low-Fertility China.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Jessica NisénMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Sebastian KlüsenerMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Johan DahlbergDepartment of Sociology, Stockholm University Demography Unit (SUDA), Stockholm, Sweden.
Lars DommermuthStatistics Norway, Oslo, Norway.
Aiva JasilionieneMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Michaela KreyenfeldHertie School of Governance, Berlin, Germany.
Trude LappegårdDepartment of Sociology and Human Geography, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Peng LiMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Pekka MartikainenMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Karel NeelsUniversity of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.
Bernhard RiedererUniversity of Vienna, Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna, Austria.
Saskia Te RieleStatistics Netherlands, The Hague, Netherlands.
Laura SzabóHungarian Demographic Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary.
Alessandra TrimarchiInstitut National D'études Démographiques (INED), Paris, France.
Francisco VicianaInstitute of Statistics and Cartography of Andalusia, Sevilla, Spain.
Ben WilsonDepartment of Sociology, Stockholm University Demography Unit (SUDA), Stockholm, Sweden.
Mikko MyrskyläMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Educational differences in female cohort fertility vary strongly across high-income countries and over time, but knowledge about how educational fertility differentials play out at the sub-national regional level is limited. Examining these sub-national regional patterns might improve our understanding of national patterns, as regionally varying contextual conditions may affect fertility. This study provides for the first time for a large number of European countries a comprehensive account of educational differences in the cohort fertility rate (CFR) at the sub-national regional level. We harmonise data from population registers, censuses, and large-sample surveys for 15 countries to measure women's completed fertility by educational level and region of residence at the end of the reproductive lifespan. In order to explore associations between educational differences in CFRs and levels of economic development, we link our data to regional GDP per capita. Empirical Bayesian estimation is used to reduce uncertainty in the regional fertility estimates. We document an overall negative gradient between the CFR and level of education, and notable regional variation in the gradient. The steepness of the gradient is inversely related to the economic development level. It is steepest in the least developed regions and close to zero in the most developed regions. This tendency is observed within countries as well as across all regions of all countries. Our findings underline the variability of educational gradients in women's fertility, suggest that higher levels of development may be associated with less negative gradients, and call for more in-depth sub-national-level fertility analyses by education.

Indexed as

Cohort fertilityEducationEmpirical BayesianEuropeFertility rateSub-national region

Identifiers

PMID33597840
PMCPMC7864854

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.