ArticlePloS one2021
The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs.
Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Assessing spatial transmission risk of respiratory infectious diseases across cities of different socioeconomic tiers in China: A modelling study.PLoS medicine · 2026Article
- Fertility Intentions During the Covid-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of Individual- and Municipality-Level Determinants.Population and development review · 2024Article
- Presidential election results in 2018-2022 and its association with excess mortality during the 2020-2021 COVID-19 pandemic in Brazilian municipalities.Cadernos de saude publica · 2024Article
- Can the Content of Social Networks Explain Epidemic Outbreaks?Population research and policy review · 2023Article
- Safety of the Fiocruz ChAdOx COVID-19 vaccine used in a mass vaccination campaign in Botucatu, Brazil.Vaccine · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
We analyze the trade-offs between health and the economy during the period of social distancing in São Paulo, the state hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. We use longitudinal data with municipal-level information and check the robustness of our estimates to several sources of bias, including spatial dependence, reverse causality, and time-variant omitted variables. We use exogenous climate shocks as instruments for social distancing since people are more likely to stay home in wetter and colder periods. Our findings suggest that the health benefits of social distancing differ by levels of municipal development and may have vanished if the COVID-19 spread was not controlled in neighboring municipalities. In turn, we did not find evidence that municipalities with tougher social distancing performed worse economically. Our results also highlight that estimates that do not account for endogeneity may largely underestimate the benefits of social distancing on reducing the spread of COVID-19.
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