Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33594490›Full record

ArticleBulletin of mathematical biology2021

Threshold Dynamics in a Model for Zika Virus Disease with Seasonality.

Mahmoud A Ibrahim, Attila Dénes

Open access · hybridAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Mahmoud A IbrahimBolyai Institute, University of Szeged, Aradi vértanúk tere 1., Szeged, 6720, Hungary. mibrahim@math.u-szeged.hu.ORCID 0000-0003-0258-2019
Attila DénesBolyai Institute, University of Szeged, Aradi vértanúk tere 1., Szeged, 6720, Hungary.
Mansoura University · EGUniversity of Szeged · HU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present a compartmental population model for the spread of Zika virus disease including sexual and vectorial transmission as well as asymptomatic carriers. We apply a non-autonomous model with time-dependent mosquito birth, death and biting rates to integrate the impact of the periodicity of weather on the spread of Zika. We define the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] as the spectral radius of a linear integral operator and show that the global dynamics is determined by this threshold parameter: If [Formula: see text] then the disease-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable, while if [Formula: see text] then the disease persists. We show numerical examples to study what kind of parameter changes might lead to a periodic recurrence of Zika.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalSeasonsZika Virus InfectionAnimalsCulicidaeHumansZika VirusGlobal stabilityPeriodic epidemic modelUniform persistenceZika virus (ZIKV)

Identifiers

PMID33594490
PMCPMC7886769
OpenAlexW3131207566

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.