Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33594076›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France.

Laura Di Domenico, Giulia Pullano, Chiara E Sabbatini, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Vittoria Colizza

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. SARS-CoV-2 Circulation in the School Setting: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemicThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
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  10. The methodology of quantitative risk assessment studies.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2024
    Review
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  14. Minimising school disruption under high incidence conditions due to the Omicron variant in France, Switzerland, Italy, in January 2022.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Laura Di DomenicoINSERM, Sorbonne Université, Pierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health, Paris, France.
Giulia PullanoINSERM, Sorbonne Université, Pierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health, Paris, France.
Chiara E SabbatiniINSERM, Sorbonne Université, Pierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health, Paris, France.
Pierre-Yves BoëlleINSERM, Sorbonne Université, Pierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health, Paris, France.
Vittoria ColizzaINSERM, Sorbonne Université, Pierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health, Paris, France. vittoria.colizza@inserm.fr.ORCID 0000-0002-2113-2374

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As countries in Europe implement strategies to control the COVID-19 pandemic, different options are chosen regarding schools. Through a stochastic age-structured transmission model calibrated to the observed epidemic in Île-de-France in the first wave, we explored scenarios of partial, progressive, or full school reopening. Given the uncertainty on children's role, we found that reopening schools after lockdown may increase COVID-19 cases, yet protocols exist to keep the epidemic controlled. Under a scenario with stable epidemic activity if schools were closed, reopening pre-schools and primary schools would lead to up to 76% [67, 84]% occupation of ICU beds if no other school level reopened, or if middle and high schools reopened later. Immediately reopening all school levels may overwhelm the ICU system. Priority should be given to pre- and primary schools allowing younger children to resume learning and development, whereas full attendance in middle and high schools is not recommended for stable or increasing epidemic activity. Large-scale test and trace is required to keep the epidemic under control. Ex-post assessment shows that progressive reopening of schools, limited attendance, and strong adoption of preventive measures contributed to a decreasing epidemic after lifting the first lockdown.

Indexed as

PandemicsSchoolsChildComputer SimulationCOVID-19FranceHumansIntensive Care UnitsModels, BiologicalPatient AdmissionRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID33594076
PMCPMC7887250

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.