Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33583933›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology2022

Meta-analysis Using Flexible Random-effects Distribution Models.

Hisashi Noma, Kengo Nagashima, Shogo Kato, Satoshi Teramukai, Toshi A Furukawa

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. A novel robust meta-analysis model using theResearch synthesis methods · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hisashi NomaDepartment of Data Science, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics.ORCID 0000-0002-2520-9949
Kengo NagashimaResearch Center for Medical and Health Data Science, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics.ORCID 0000-0003-4529-9045
Shogo KatoDepartment of Statistical Inference and Mathematics, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics.
Satoshi TeramukaiDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine.
Toshi A FurukawaDepartments of Health Promotion and Human Behavior, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine/School of Public Health.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn meta-analysis, the normal distribution assumption has been adopted in most systematic reviews of random-effects distribution models due to its computational and conceptual simplicity. However, this restrictive model assumption is possibly unsuitable and might have serious influences in practices.

methodsWe provide two examples of real-world evidence that clearly show that the normal distribution assumption is explicitly unsuitable. We propose new random-effects meta-analysis methods using five flexible random-effects distribution models that can flexibly regulate skewness, kurtosis and tailweight: skew normal distribution, skew t-distribution, asymmetric Subbotin distribution, Jones-Faddy distribution, and sinh-arcsinh distribution. We also developed a statistical package, flexmeta, that can easily perform these methods.

resultsUsing the flexible random-effects distribution models, the results of the two meta-analyses were markedly altered, potentially influencing the overall conclusions of these systematic reviews.

conclusionThe restrictive normal distribution assumption in the random-effects model can yield misleading conclusions. The proposed flexible methods can provide more precise conclusions in systematic reviews.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalHumansMeta-Analysis as TopicSystematic Reviews as Topicflexible probability distributionmeta-analysismodel inadequacypredictive distributionrandom-effects model

Identifiers

PMID33583933
PMCPMC9424185

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.