Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33580234›Full record

Trial reportClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

Blood Parasite Load as an Early Marker to Predict Treatment Response in Visceral Leishmaniasis in Eastern Africa.

Luka Verrest, Anke E Kip, Ahmed M Musa, Gerard J Schoone, Henk D F H Schallig, Jane Mbui, Eltahir A G Khalil, Brima M Younis, Joseph Olobo, Lilian Were and 6 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  16. Clinical performance of a quantitative pan-genusPractical laboratory medicine · 2023
    Article
  17. Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Luka VerrestDepartment of Pharmacy & Pharmacology, Antoni van Leeuwenhoek Hospital/the Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7312-5902
Anke E KipDepartment of Pharmacy & Pharmacology, Antoni van Leeuwenhoek Hospital/the Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Ahmed M MusaInstitute of Endemic Diseases, University of Khartoum, Sudan.
Gerard J SchooneAcademic Medical Centre, Department of Medical Microbiology, Parasitology Unit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Henk D F H SchalligAcademic Medical Centre, Department of Medical Microbiology, Parasitology Unit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Jane MbuiCentre for Clinical Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Eltahir A G KhalilInstitute of Endemic Diseases, University of Khartoum, Sudan.
Brima M YounisInstitute of Endemic Diseases, University of Khartoum, Sudan.
Joseph OloboDepartment of Medical Microbiology, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Lilian WereDrugs for Neglected Diseases initiative (DNDi) Africa, Nairobi, Kenya.
Robert KimutaiCentre for Clinical Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Séverine MonneratDrugs for Neglected Diseases initiative (DNDi), Geneva, Switzerland.
Isra CruzFoundation for Innovative New Diagnostics, Geneva, Switzerland.
Monique WasunnaDrugs for Neglected Diseases initiative (DNDi) Africa, Nairobi, Kenya.
Fabiana AlvesDrugs for Neglected Diseases initiative (DNDi), Geneva, Switzerland.
Thomas P C DorloDepartment of Pharmacy & Pharmacology, Antoni van Leeuwenhoek Hospital/the Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
The Netherlands Cancer Institute · NLUniversity of Khartoum · SDAmsterdam UMC Location University of Amsterdam · NLDrugs for Neglected Diseases Initiative · CHKenya Medical Research Institute · KEFIND · CHMakerere University · UG

Funding

Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs PDP15CH21Dutch Research Council 91617140Federal Ministry of Education and ResearchFrench Development Agency CZZ2062Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation 81017718
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo expedite the development of new oral treatment regimens for visceral leishmaniasis (VL), there is a need for early markers to evaluate treatment response and predict long-term outcomes.

methodsData from 3 clinical trials were combined in this study, in which Eastern African VL patients received various antileishmanial therapies. Leishmania kinetoplast DNA was quantified in whole blood with real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) before, during, and up to 6 months after treatment. The predictive performance of pharmacodynamic parameters for clinical relapse was evaluated using receiver-operating characteristic curves. Clinical trial simulations were performed to determine the power associated with the use of blood parasite load as a surrogate endpoint to predict clinical outcome at 6 months.

resultsThe absolute parasite density on day 56 after start of treatment was found to be a highly sensitive predictor of relapse within 6 months of follow-up at a cutoff of 20 parasites/mL (area under the curve 0.92, specificity 0.91, sensitivity 0.89). Blood parasite loads correlated well with tissue parasite loads (ρ = 0.80) and with microscopy gradings of bone marrow and spleen aspirate smears. Clinical trial simulations indicated a > 80% power to detect a difference in cure rate between treatment regimens if this difference was high (> 50%) and when minimally 30 patients were included per regimen.

conclusionsBlood Leishmania parasite load determined by qPCR is a promising early biomarker to predict relapse in VL patients. Once optimized, it might be useful in dose finding studies of new chemical entities.

Indexed as

Leishmaniasis, VisceralParasitesAfrica, EasternAnimalsBiomarkersHumansParasite LoadBiomarkersbiomarkerparasitemiapharmacodynamicsqPCRvisceral leishmaniasis

Identifiers

PMID33580234
PMCPMC8423463
OpenAlexW3126849290

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.