Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33575333›Full record

ArticleBioMed research international2021

An Artificial Neural Networks Model for Early Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis in MIMIC-III.

Ning Ding, Cuirong Guo, Changluo Li, Yang Zhou, Xiangping Chai

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BioMed research international, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06124989 (A Novel Machine Learning Model for the Prediction of Relapse of Acute Biliary Pancreatitis), which is not on this map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06124989 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

A Novel Machine Learning Model for the Prediction of Relapse of Acute Biliary Pancreatitis (Machine learnINg for the rElapse Risk eValuation in Acute Biliary Pancreatitis - MINERVA)

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of CagliariRan2024 to 2025Enrolled430ConditionsAcute Pancreatitis, Pancreatitis Due to Gallstones, Pancreatitis Biliary, Pancreatitis RelapsingArmsMINERVA Machine Learning model
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ning DingDepartment of Emergency Medicine, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Emergency Medicine and Difficult Diseases Institute, Central South University, China.
Cuirong GuoDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Changsha Central Hospital, University of South China, China.
Changluo LiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Changsha Central Hospital, University of South China, China.
Yang ZhouDepartment of Emergency Medicine, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Emergency Medicine and Difficult Diseases Institute, Central South University, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7373-1996
Xiangping ChaiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Emergency Medicine and Difficult Diseases Institute, Central South University, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3575-2646
Central South University · CNChangsha Central Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly and accurate evaluation of severity and prognosis in acute pancreatitis (AP), especially at the time of admission is very significant. This study was aimed to develop an artificial neural networks (ANN) model for early prediction of in-hospital mortality in AP.

methodsPatients with AP were identified from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database. Clinical and laboratory data were utilized to perform a predictive model by back propagation ANN approach.

resultsA total of 337 patients with AP were analyzed in the study, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 11.2%. A total of 12 variables that differed between patients in survivor group and nonsurvivor group were applied to construct ANN model. Three independent variables were identified as risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The predictive performance based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.769 for ANN model, 0.607 for logistic regression, 0.652 for Ranson score, and 0.401 for SOFA score.

conclusionAn ANN predictive model for in-hospital mortality in patients with AP in MIMIC-III database was first performed. The patients with high risk of fatal outcome can be screened out easily in the early stage of AP by our model.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityNeural Networks, ComputerAgedDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPancreatitisSensitivity and Specificity

Identifiers

PMID33575333
PMCPMC7864739
OpenAlexW3126598488

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.