Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33571315›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Incidence and predictors of COPD mortality in Uganda: A 2-year prospective cohort study.

Patricia Alupo, Adaeze C Wosu, Abdallah Mahofa, Levicatus Mugenyi, Daniel Semakula, Winceslaus Katagira, Bruce Kirenga

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. The impact of body mass index on mortality in COPD: an updated dose-response meta-analysis.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2024
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Patricia AlupoMakerere University Lung Institute, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.ORCID 0000-0001-8946-0940
Adaeze C WosuMakerere University Lung Institute, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
Abdallah MahofaDepartment of Medicine, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
Levicatus MugenyiMakerere University Lung Institute, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
Daniel SemakulaDepartment of Medicine, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
Winceslaus KatagiraMakerere University Lung Institute, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
Bruce KirengaMakerere University Lung Institute, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData is lacking on outcomes among COPD patients in sub-Saharan Africa. The objective of the study was to assess the incidence and predictors of mortality among COPD patients enrolled in the Uganda Registry for Asthma and COPD. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the Incidence and predictors of mortality among COPD patients in Uganda? STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsIndividuals with a diagnosis of COPD at six hospitals in Uganda were enrolled into the registry, and followed every six months. Mortality was ascertained through post-mortem reports and verbal autopsies. Mortality rates (MR), mortality rate ratios (MRR), and hazard ratios (HR) were computed to assess associations between socio-demographic, behavioural, and clinical characteristics at enrolment into the registry and mortality up to two years after.

resultsWe enrolled 296 COPD patients. Median age was 60 years, and 51·3% were male. The overall mortality rate was 95·90 deaths/1000 person-years. COPD severity by post-bronchodilator FEV1 was the strongest risk factor for mortality. Compared to stage 1, adjusted hazard ratios were as follows for stage 4: 9·86 (95%CI: 1·70-57·14, p = 0·011), stage 3: 6·16 (95%CI: 1·25-30·32, p = 0·025), and stage 2: 1·76 (95%CI: 0·33-9·48, p = 0·51). Underweight patients had a higher incidence of mortality compared to normal weight patients (MRR: 3·47 (95%CI: 1·45-8·31, p = 0·0026).

conclusionAmong COPD patients in Uganda, two-year mortality is high, and disease severity at baseline was the strongest risk factor for mortality. Our findings suggest the need for early, accurate, diagnosis and management of COPD, to potentially improve survival.

Indexed as

AdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRisk FactorsSurvival RateUganda

Identifiers

PMID33571315
PMCPMC7877567

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.