Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33570249›Full record

SynthesisAutism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research2021

Prediction in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Systematic Review of Empirical Evidence.

Jonathan Cannon, Amanda M O'Brien, Lindsay Bungert, Pawan Sinha

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05977075 (Training "Unstuck and On Target! Second Edition" Versus Training "ApisMela"), which is not on this map. Cited by 97 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
97citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
12.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05977075 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Training "Unstuck and On Target! Second Edition" Versus Training "ApisMela"

TypeinterventionalSponsorIstituto per la Ricerca e l'Innovazione BiomedicaRan2022 to 2024Enrolled12ConditionsAutism Spectrum Disorder, AutismArmsApisMela protocol, "Unstuck and on Target" protocol
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

97 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 157 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Mismatch Negativity in Autism: Insights Into Predictive Mechanisms.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. Action execution and observation in autistic adults: A systematic review of fMRI studies.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2025
    Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Diametrically opposed sex-specific effects of autistic traits on risk-taking in poker.PCN reports : psychiatry and clinical neurosciences · 2026
    Article
  8. Intact Visual Correlation Detection in Autistic Adults.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2026
    Article
  9. Atypical Predictive Processing Is Associated With Sensory Over-Responsivity in Autism.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Prediction by Young Autistic Children from Visual and Spoken Input.Journal of autism and developmental disorders · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. The Temporal Scaffolding of Sensory Organization.Annual review of psychology · 2026
    Review
  18. Experience-Dependent Plasticity to Visual Sequences in Mouse Anterior Cingulate Cortex Reflects Familiarity.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2025
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

37 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jonathan CannonDepartment of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Amanda M O'BrienDepartment of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5350-5457
Lindsay BungertDepartment of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Pawan SinhaDepartment of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Institute of Cognitive and Brain Sciences · USHarvard University · US

Funding

TRAINING FOR SPEECH AND HEARING SCIENCEST32DC000038 · NIDCD · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI Gwenaelle S Geleoc · 1992 to 2026
$21.8M
NIDCD NIH HHS T32 DC000038
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

According to a recent influential proposal, several phenotypic features of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be accounted for by differences in predictive skills between individuals with ASD and neurotypical individuals. In this systematic review, we describe results from 47 studies that have empirically tested this hypothesis. We assess the results based on two observable aspects of prediction: learning a pairing between an antecedent and a consequence and responding to an antecedent in a predictive manner. Taken together, these studies suggest distinct differences in both predictive learning and predictive response. Studies documenting differences in learning predictive pairings indicate challenges in detecting such relationships especially when predictive features of an antecedent have low salience or consistency, and studies showing differences in habituation and perceptual adaptation suggest low-level predictive processing differences in ASD. These challenges may account for the observed differences in the influence of predictive priors, in spontaneous predictive movement or gaze, and in social prediction. An important goal for future research will be to better define and constrain the broad domain-general hypothesis by testing multiple types of prediction within the same individuals. Additional promising avenues include studying prediction within naturalistic contexts and assessing the effect of prediction-based intervention on supporting functional outcomes for individuals with ASD. LAY SUMMARY: Researchers have suggested that many features of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be explained by differences in the prediction skills of people with ASD. We review results from 47 studies. These studies suggest that ASD may be associated with differences in the learning of predictive pairings (e.g., learning cause and effect) and in low-level predictive processing in the brain (e.g., processing repeated sounds). These findings lay the groundwork for research that can improve our understanding of ASD and inform interventions. Autism Res 2021, 14: 604-630. © 2021 International Society for Autism Research and Wiley Periodicals LLC.

Indexed as

Autism Spectrum DisorderAutistic DisorderBrainHumansLearningMotivationautism spectrum disorderbrainlearningperceptionprediction

Identifiers

PMID33570249
PMCPMC8043993
OpenAlexW3127385572

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.