Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33566641›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of public health2021

Pandemic Reemergence and Four Waves of Excess Mortality Coinciding With the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Michigan: Insights for COVID-19.

Siddharth Chandra, Julia Christensen, Madhur Chandra, Nigel Paneth

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Feasibility and utility of facemask sampling in the detection of SARS-CoV-2 during an ongoing pandemic.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2021
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Siddharth ChandraSiddharth Chandra is with the Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (by courtesy), Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. Julia Christensen is with James Madison College, Michigan State University. Madhur Chandra is with the Ingham County Health Department, Lansing, MI, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University. Nigel Paneth is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Pediatrics, Michigan State University.
Julia ChristensenSiddharth Chandra is with the Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (by courtesy), Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. Julia Christensen is with James Madison College, Michigan State University. Madhur Chandra is with the Ingham County Health Department, Lansing, MI, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University. Nigel Paneth is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Pediatrics, Michigan State University.
Madhur ChandraSiddharth Chandra is with the Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (by courtesy), Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. Julia Christensen is with James Madison College, Michigan State University. Madhur Chandra is with the Ingham County Health Department, Lansing, MI, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University. Nigel Paneth is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Pediatrics, Michigan State University.
Nigel PanethSiddharth Chandra is with the Asian Studies Center, James Madison College, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (by courtesy), Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI. Julia Christensen is with James Madison College, Michigan State University. Madhur Chandra is with the Ingham County Health Department, Lansing, MI, and Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University. Nigel Paneth is with the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Pediatrics, Michigan State University.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The global influenza pandemic that emerged in 1918 has become the event of reference for a broad spectrum of policymakers seeking to learn from the past. This article sheds light on multiple waves of excess mortality that occurred in the US state of Michigan at the time with insights into how epidemics might evolve and propagate across space and time. We analyzed original monthly data on all-cause deaths by county for the 83 counties of Michigan and interpreted the results in the context of what is known about the pandemic. Counties in Michigan experienced up to four waves of excess mortality over a span of two years, including a severe one in early 1920. Some counties experienced two waves in late 1918 while others had only one. The 1920 wave propagated across the state in a different manner than the fall and winter 1918 waves. The twin waves in late 1918 were likely related to the timing of the statewide imposition of a three-week social distancing order. Michigan's experience holds sobering lessons for those who wish to understand how immunologically naïve populations encounter novel viral pathogens.

Indexed as

Cause of DeathCOVID-19History, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansInfluenza Pandemic, 1918-1919MichiganPandemicsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID33566641
PMCPMC7893337

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.