Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33566138›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2021

Opportunistic CT screening predicts individuals at risk of major osteoporotic fracture.

A S Michalski, B A Besler, L A Burt, S K Boyd

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Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. CT image-based biomarkers for opportunistic screening of osteoporotic fractures: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Pooled it
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  7. Internal Density Calibration in the Proximal Humerus to Estimate Bone Stiffness for Stemless Shoulder Arthroplasty.Journal of orthopaedic research : official publication of the Orthopaedic Research Society · 2026
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  10. Comparison of the time-dependent discriminatory accuracy of femoral strength and bone mineral density for predicting future hip and major osteoporotic fractures: a 16-year follow-up of the AGES-Reykjavik cohort.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
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  12. Assessing the effects of immune checkpoint inhibitors on bone utilizing machine learning-assisted opportunistic quantitative computed tomography.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2025
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  16. Assessment of fracture risk in diabetic patients.Journal of diabetes and metabolic disorders · 2024
    Review
  17. The association of microvascular disease and endothelial dysfunction with vertebral trabecular bone mineral density : The MESA study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Sagittal alignment cut-off values for predicting future fall-related fractures in community-dwelling osteoporotic women.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

A S MichalskiMcCaig Institute for Bone and Joint Health, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4Z6, Canada.
B A BeslerMcCaig Institute for Bone and Joint Health, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4Z6, Canada.
L A BurtMcCaig Institute for Bone and Joint Health, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4Z6, Canada.
S K BoydMcCaig Institute for Bone and Joint Health, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4Z6, Canada. skboyd@ucalgary.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2930-5997
University of Calgary · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Millions of CT scans are performed annually and could be also used to opportunistically assess musculoskeletal health; however, it is unknown how well this secondary assessment relates to osteoporotic fracture. This study demonstrates that opportunistic CT screening is a promising tool to predict individuals with previous osteoporotic fracture.

introductionOpportunistic computed tomography (oCT) screening for osteoporosis and fracture risk determination complements current dual X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) diagnosis. This study determined major osteoporotic fracture prediction by oCT at the spine and hip from abdominal CT scans.

methodsInitial 1158 clinical abdominal CT scans were identified from administrative databases and were the basis to generate a cohort of 490 men and women with suitable abdominal CT scans. Participant CT scans met the following criteria: over 50 years of age, the scan had no image artifacts, and the field-of-view included the L4 vertebra and proximal femur. A total of 123 participants were identified as having previously suffered a fracture within 5 years of CT scan date. Fracture cause was identified from clinical data and used to create a low-energy fracture sub-cohort. At each skeletal site, bone mineral density (BMD) and finite element (FE)-estimated bone strength were determined. Logistic regression predicted fracture and receiver-operator characteristic curves analyzed prediction capabilities.

resultsIn participants with a fracture, low-energy fractures occurred in 88% of women and 79% of men. Fracture prediction by combining both BMD and FE-estimated bone strength was not statistically different than using either BMD or FE-estimated bone strength alone. Predicting low-energy fractures in women determined the greatest AUC of 0.710 by using both BMD and FE-estimated bone strength.

conclusionsoCT screening using abdominal CT scans is effective at predicting individuals with previous fracture at major osteoporotic sites and offers a promising screening tool for skeletal health assessment.

Indexed as

OsteoporosisOsteoporotic FracturesAbsorptiometry, PhotonBone DensityFemaleHumansMaleTomography, X-Ray ComputedBone fractureOsteoporosisPatient-specific modelingX-ray computed tomography

Identifiers

PMID33566138
OpenAlexW3127761787

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.